East Bay Fencers Gym - Oakland, CA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | YAMASAKI Kyle A. | V V V V V V V | V V V V V | 6.5 | 7 | +0.5 |
| 2 | BOYCE Samuel | D V V V D V V | V V V V D | 5.3 | 5 | -0.3 |
| 3 | COHEN Benjamin A. | V V D V V V D | V V V D | 4.8 | 5 | +0.2 |
| 4 | CHANDLER Paul F. | V V V V V V D | V V V D | 5.1 | 6 | +0.9 |
| 5 | NICHOLSON Dimitri E. | V V V V V V V | V V D | 5.8 | 7 | +1.2 |
| 6 | PHILIPPINE Matthias A. | V V V V V V V | V V D | 6.6 | 7 | +0.4 |
| 7 | HE Zhiheng | V V V V V V | V V D | 5.1 | 6 | +0.9 |
| 8 | LIPTON Michael D. | V V V V V D | V V D | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| 9 | ZACHES Torrey | V V V V V V | V D | 4.7 | 6 | +1.3 |
| 10 | LONDON George | V V V V V V D | V D | 4.0 | 6 | +2.0 |
| 11 | HERODOTOU Orestis | V V V V V D D | V D | 5.5 | 5 | -0.5 |
| 12 | HELGE James R. | V V V D D V | V D | 4.9 | 4 | -0.9 |
| 13 | MAYCHROWITZ Matt | D V V V D V D | V D | 4.8 | 4 | -0.8 |
| 14 | KAUFMAN Joel H. | D V D D V V V | V D | 5.0 | 4 | -1.0 |
| 15 | DAVIS Andrew | D D D V V V V | V V D | 4.7 | 4 | -0.7 |
| 16 | GUO Woody | V D D V D D V | V V D | 1.6 | 3 | +1.4 |
| 17 | BEITTEL David F. | V V D V V V V | D | 3.6 | 6 | +2.4 |
| 18 | BHATT Anisha | V D V D V V | D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 19 | DOWNEY Gerard C. | V V V D D D V | D | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
| 20 | HUNTER Justin | D D D V V V V | D | 4.2 | 4 | -0.2 |
| 21 | AIRES Julia | V D V V V D D | V D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 22 | NG Biwon | D V V V D D | V D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 23 | AHMED Isa | D V D D V V | V D | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 |
| 24 | BULLOCK-HUMPHREY Graham | V D V V D D D | V D | 4.2 | 3 | -1.2 |
| 25 | SLOAN Ryan | D V V D D V D | V D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 26 | COHEN Jack | D V V D D D V | V D | 1.4 | 3 | +1.6 |
| 27 | NGUYEN Grayson | V V D D D D | V D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 28 | PIVOVAROV Lucas | V V D D D D | V D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 29 | RISTOW Carsten | D D V D D D V | V D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 30 | KOUTSOUKOS James | D D D V V D D | V D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 31 | CHIOU-WILLIAMS Matea | D V D D D D V | V D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 32 | TAGKOPOULOS Pagkratios | D D D D D D D | V D | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| 33 | ABELE Chris | V D D D V V V | D | 4.7 | 4 | -0.7 |
| 34 | TOYOFUKU Ethan | V D V D D D V | D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 35 | VERITY Alexander | D D D V V D | D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 36 | LEONARDINI Barry M. | D D V D D V | D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| 37 | PERALTA Jr. Christian | D D D V V D | D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 38 | OU wei | D D V D V D D | D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| 39 | MANA Arnav | D V D D D D V | D | 3.5 | 2 | -1.5 |
| 40 | LIN Shenghai | V D D D V D D | D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 41 | DWIGGINS Reese | D D D D V D | D | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| 42 | LIN Isabel | V D D D D D D | D | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| 43 | DARMSTADT-HOLM Jennifer | D D D D D V D | D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| 43 | JACKSON Susana | D D D D V D D | D | 0.5 | 1 | +0.5 |
| 45 | PERALTA Christian | D D D D D D | D | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| 46 | LIN Jason | D D D D D D D | D | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.