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Y-10 Men's Foil

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Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	DESERANNO Leander	-	-	-	-	1%	16%	83%
2	PARK Andrew	-	1%	9%	30%	43%	18%
3	CHANG Parker	-	1%	6%	24%	42%	27%
3	ZHENG Lerui	-	2%	10%	28%	36%	21%	4%
5	MURDOCK Koichi	-	2%	10%	27%	36%	21%	4%
6	SLAIN Owen	1%	7%	26%	38%	24%	5%
6	KUANG Cyrus	-	1%	8%	27%	41%	24%
8	RAU Shogun	-	1%	7%	25%	41%	26%
9	HUYNH Matthew	-	-	-	4%	18%	42%	36%
10	MAZAHERI John	-	2%	11%	28%	36%	20%	3%
11	ZHAI Derrick	-	-	3%	19%	44%	34%
12	ZHAI Alex	-	5%	20%	37%	30%	9%
13	CORAN Roland	1%	7%	24%	37%	26%	6%
14	QU Zhida (richard)	-	-	-	3%	16%	41%	40%
15	PARK Avan	2%	12%	30%	35%	19%	4%	-
16	WANG Waylon	-	1%	7%	24%	37%	25%	6%
17	TEOH Liam	18%	38%	30%	11%	2%	-	-
18	JIN Xueyuan George	1%	9%	28%	37%	21%	4%
19	ALVAREZ Francisco Janusz	1%	10%	30%	38%	18%	3%
20	LEE Joshua	2%	12%	31%	35%	17%	3%
21	TROYANKER Makar	2%	13%	31%	33%	17%	4%	-
22	DIFRANK Avery	-	1%	8%	25%	39%	25%	2%
23	JUE Lucas	13%	36%	33%	14%	3%	-	-
24	MAZAHERI Theodore	1%	9%	26%	36%	23%	6%	-
25	TAN benjamin	1%	8%	25%	35%	23%	7%	1%
26	TURBAT Travis	2%	13%	33%	34%	15%	2%
27	KIAYIAS Anthony	1%	10%	28%	36%	20%	4%
28	HUYNH Kaleb	6%	26%	39%	23%	5%	-
29	YANG Steve	1%	6%	24%	37%	26%	6%
30	CHENG Alvin	35%	42%	19%	4%	-	-
31	LU Brandon	4%	20%	37%	29%	10%	1%
32	CHEN Solomon	16%	40%	32%	10%	1%	-
33	HO Cameron	28%	42%	23%	6%	1%	-
34	KAJITA Grayson	15%	38%	32%	12%	2%	-	-
35	LIU Michael	38%	42%	17%	3%	-	-
36	WU James	23%	41%	26%	8%	1%	-	-
37	CHUNG Royce	1%	11%	29%	34%	19%	5%	-
38	MENG Andy	8%	28%	36%	22%	6%	1%	-
39	YANG Gavin	9%	33%	37%	18%	4%	-
40	ZHU Yiming	3%	17%	33%	31%	14%	2%	-
41	LI Alexander	24%	43%	26%	7%	1%	-
42	KOSCIK-AQUINO Nicholas	2%	12%	31%	34%	17%	4%	-
43	ZHANG William	8%	30%	37%	20%	5%	-
44	ROSOWSKY Phoenix	1%	30%	43%	21%	4%	-
45	ZHANG Bosen	23%	41%	27%	8%	1%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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