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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

2023 Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-12 Women's Saber

Monday, December 18, 2023 at 11:30 AM

Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XIAÖ Cindy 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 5%
2 GAIKWAD Ashmiee - - 1% 6% 26% 43% 24%
3 LEI Zitong (Meya) - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
3 GAY Sasha - - 1% 6% 24% 44% 25%
5 LIN Elaine - - 1% 12% 40% 47%
6 KWON Hannah 2% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
7 ZHU Avril - 3% 14% 33% 36% 15%
8 KAUL Tara - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
9 YUEN Nicole - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
10 FUNG Iris - - 6% 22% 38% 27% 7%
11 WANG JiaQi - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
12 ZHU Elaine - 1% 9% 27% 40% 22%
13 HWANG Charlotte 3% 18% 37% 30% 11% 1%
14 KU Alathea-Joy - 1% 9% 31% 41% 18%
15 CHOI Charlotte 1% 8% 26% 37% 24% 5%
16 HEATH Isabella 3% 17% 35% 31% 13% 2%
17 WONG Natalie - 2% 19% 39% 31% 8%
18 CASTELO Soleil - 6% 27% 40% 22% 3%
19 YU Stella - 5% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1%
20 SUNG Olivia - 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2%
21 ZHANG Ashley - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
22 MISHEV Lila 1% 6% 21% 35% 29% 9%
23 KIM Saeren 1% 10% 32% 38% 17% 2%
24 YU Skylar - 4% 25% 41% 25% 5%
25 LONG Jessie 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 6%
26 RUSMEVICHIENTONG Lyla - 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
27 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai 7% 26% 35% 24% 8% 1%
28 LIU kai yin aria - 1% 12% 35% 38% 14%
29 LIANG Claire 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4%
30 WANG Tina - 4% 21% 40% 29% 6%
31 ZHANG Olivia - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
32 HU Ashley 2% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
33 WANG Emily 6% 27% 38% 23% 6% 1%
34 BRIMMER Bella 36% 41% 18% 4% - -
35 DING Jolie 10% 33% 35% 17% 4% 1% -
36 KU Chloe - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 7%
37 CAI Joanna 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
38 KIM Grace M. 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
39 LAUREYNS Ainsley 2% 20% 40% 29% 8% 1%
40 SUNG Isabella 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 9%
41 HWANG YUJUNG - 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 1%
42 WEI Levana 7% 34% 38% 17% 3% - -
43 OLESKY Ellie - 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% -
44 LAI Karen 23% 46% 25% 5% - -
45 HWANG Sophie 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
46 MEADE Kaia G. 13% 56% 26% 5% - -
47 HUBBELL Delphine - 4% 26% 42% 24% 4%
48 SHI Maxine 5% 41% 38% 14% 2% - -
49 CHENG Anna 1% 13% 35% 34% 14% 2% -
50 BRAN ROSADO Victoria 57% 35% 7% 1% - - -
51 LEE Chaewon 72% 26% 2% - - -
52 WANG April 35% 45% 17% 3% - -
52 CLAIANU Adriana 42% 41% 15% 3% - -
54 CHACKO Anne 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
55 TABANCAY Ava 57% 35% 8% 1% - -
56 CHENG Zijuan "Grace" 15% 35% 32% 15% 3% -
57 SON Ellie 81% 18% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.