2023 Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-12 Women's Saber

Monday, December 18, 2023 at 11:30 AM

Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XIAÖ Cindy 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
2 GAIKWAD Ashmiee 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
3 LEI Zitong (Meya) 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
3 GAY Sasha 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 25%
5 LIN Elaine 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 47%
6 KWON Hannah 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 3%
7 ZHU Avril 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15%
8 KAUL Tara 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 7%
9 YUEN Nicole 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
10 FUNG Iris 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 7%
11 WANG JiaQi 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
12 ZHU Elaine 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
13 HWANG Charlotte 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
14 KU Alathea-Joy 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 18%
15 CHOI Charlotte 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 5%
16 HEATH Isabella 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 2%
17 WONG Natalie 100% 100% 97% 78% 39% 8%
18 CASTELO Soleil 100% 100% 93% 66% 26% 3%
19 YU Stella 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 9% 1%
20 SUNG Olivia 100% 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2%
21 ZHANG Ashley 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
22 MISHEV Lila 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
23 KIM Saeren 100% 99% 90% 57% 19% 2%
24 YU Skylar 100% 100% 96% 71% 30% 5%
25 LONG Jessie 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 6%
26 RUSMEVICHIENTONG Lyla 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 15% 2%
27 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1%
28 LIU kai yin aria 100% 100% 99% 87% 53% 14%
29 LIANG Claire 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 4%
30 WANG Tina 100% 100% 96% 75% 35% 6%
31 ZHANG Olivia 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
32 HU Ashley 100% 98% 81% 47% 16% 2%
33 WANG Emily 100% 94% 67% 29% 7% 1%
34 BRIMMER Bella 100% 64% 23% 4% - -
35 DING Jolie 100% 90% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
36 KU Chloe 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 7%
37 CAI Joanna 100% 99% 90% 63% 29% 7% 1%
38 KIM Grace M. 100% 99% 88% 61% 26% 5%
39 LAUREYNS Ainsley 100% 98% 78% 38% 9% 1%
40 SUNG Isabella 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 9%
41 HWANG YUJUNG 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 13% 1%
42 WEI Levana 100% 93% 58% 20% 4% - -
43 OLESKY Ellie 100% 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% -
44 LAI Karen 100% 77% 31% 6% 1% -
45 HWANG Sophie 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 4%
46 MEADE Kaia G. 100% 87% 31% 5% - -
47 HUBBELL Delphine 100% 100% 96% 70% 27% 4%
48 SHI Maxine 100% 95% 54% 16% 3% - -
49 CHENG Anna 100% 99% 86% 51% 17% 2% -
50 BRAN ROSADO Victoria 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -
51 LEE Chaewon 100% 28% 2% - - -
52 WANG April 100% 65% 19% 3% - -
52 CLAIANU Adriana 100% 58% 18% 3% - -
54 CHACKO Anne 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
55 TABANCAY Ava 100% 43% 9% 1% - -
56 CHENG Zijuan "Grace" 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% -
57 SON Ellie 100% 19% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.