The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Take Action

Manchen Friday Night Mixed Open Foil

Senior Mixed Foil

Friday, December 22, 2023 at 6:15 PM

Manchen Academy of Fencing - Whitehouse Station, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 AKYAMAC Bora - - 1% 15% 63% 20%
2 ARCE Andrew W. - - 3% 20% 42% 30% 5%
3 OLSON Stephen - - - 2% 30% 68%
3 DAUM Charlie - - - - 6% 33% 60%
5 LUM-DEBONO Alex - - 3% 20% 50% 27%
6 MURPHY Damian - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 2%
7 SHANNON Jack - - 3% 19% 45% 29% 4%
8 NIECHWADOWICZ Michael 1% 11% 38% 38% 11% 1%
9 MAYER Richard - - - 4% 18% 41% 38%
10 DIPAOLO Julia - 7% 30% 42% 20% 2%
11 LENZ Zoe 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
12 ZHANG GAVIN J 4% 19% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
13 ROLANDO Doc - - 4% 25% 46% 25%
14 HECHT Joel 9% 36% 40% 13% 1% -
14 PEREZ Logan 26% 44% 25% 5% - -
16 O'LEARY Colin 5% 26% 44% 23% 2% -
17 NADOL Sam - 9% 35% 43% 12% 1% -
18 FALCONE Jack 3% 15% 30% 31% 17% 4% -
19 ANGELOS Nico 11% 49% 32% 7% 1% -
20 ALLEN DJ 6% 33% 45% 15% 1% -
21 SLOAN Xander 66% 30% 4% - - -
22 POLEBOYINA Amrit 2% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
23 ZGOMBIC Emily 3% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1% -
24 ZHANG Jason 1% 16% 53% 26% 3% - -
25 COMO Gabriella 72% 25% 3% - - - -
26 KIM Eunice 2% 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.