Boston Fencing Club RYC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Saturday, December 30, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KO Caleb 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
2 ZHANG Hanru 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 19%
3 HOU Gaven 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 62%
3 CHENG Logan 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 45%
5 REN Ryan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 47%
6 XU Nathan 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 13%
7 JIN Andy 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
8 WU Wallace 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 15%
9 WANG George 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 20% 2%
10 AHMAD Uzayr 100% 97% 75% 36% 9% 1%
11 CHANG Parker 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 5%
12 WANG Luke 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 12%
13 LI Andrew 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% -
14 TIAN Andy 100% 97% 80% 49% 19% 4% -
15 ZHANG Aaron 100% 99% 91% 59% 21% 3%
16 ZHAO David 100% 87% 54% 19% 3% -
17 WU Alexander 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
18 LI Jayden 100% 98% 84% 49% 15% 2%
19 HU Daniel 100% 99% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
20 SPERBER Miles 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 11% 1%
21 CHEUNG Jayden 100% 93% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
22 MA Matthew 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
23 BU Ethan 100% 99% 90% 60% 21% 2%
23 ZHONG Kingsley 100% 99% 85% 50% 15% 2%
25 HU Michael 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
26 ZHANG Ethan 100% 98% 82% 45% 13% 1%
27 YANG David H. 100% 92% 66% 32% 10% 1% -
28 CHENUTULA Abhinav 100% 48% 11% 1% - -
29 HAN Jiaren 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1%
30 WANG Joshua 100% 77% 29% 5% - -
31 LIU Yilin 100% 98% 85% 50% 15% 1%
32 ZHONG Albert 100% 58% 14% 2% - -
33 CONNELLY Malcolm 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 6% -
34 BRADFORD-WATT Ezra 100% 92% 62% 22% 3% -
35 GLODE Russell 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
36 DAWSON Myer 100% 94% 65% 26% 5% -
37 SUN Nathan 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
38 TIAN Dylan 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% -
39 HU Weijie 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
40 ROPER Griffin 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
41 LEE Aeden 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 1%
42 SUN Andrew 100% 92% 65% 31% 8% 1% -
43 ROSENTHAL Hugh 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
44 FANG Ryan 100% 50% 12% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.