Event Preview
October NACFriday, October 9, 2026 at 12:00 AM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 2539 | 2578 - 2511 |
| 5 - 8 | 2435 | 2461 - 2396 |
| 9 - 16 | 2328 | 2386 - 2268 |
| 17 - 32 | 2174 | 2337 - 2079 |
| 33 - 64 | 1942 | 2037 - 1854 |
| 65 - 128 | 1615 | 1873 - 1233 |
| 129 - 142 | 1189 | 2500 - 791 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.