Event Preview
October NACFriday, October 9, 2026 at 12:00 AM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 3075 | 3290 - 2939 |
| 5 - 8 | 2833 | 2844 - 2806 |
| 9 - 16 | 2781 | 3225 - 2646 |
| 17 - 32 | 2574 | 2646 - 2497 |
| 33 - 64 | 2376 | 2623 - 2269 |
| 65 - 128 | 2108 | 2707 - 1900 |
| 129 - 198 | 1652 | 1948 - 938 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.