Event Preview
October NACFriday, October 9, 2026 at 12:00 AM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 3088 | 3290 - 2969 |
| 5 - 8 | 2844 | 2860 - 2832 |
| 9 - 16 | 2789 | 3225 - 2656 |
| 17 - 32 | 2587 | 2652 - 2500 |
| 33 - 64 | 2385 | 2623 - 2279 |
| 65 - 128 | 2119 | 2707 - 1911 |
| 129 - 200 | 1650 | 1932 - 1021 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.