Event Preview
October NACSunday, October 11, 2026 at 12:00 AM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 4222 | 4373 - 4058 |
| 5 - 8 | 3970 | 4061 - 3891 |
| 9 - 16 | 3746 | 3862 - 3634 |
| 17 - 32 | 3254 | 3566 - 3087 |
| 33 - 64 | 2894 | 3225 - 2735 |
| 65 - 128 | 2453 | 2731 - 2225 |
| 129 - 180 | 1968 | 2321 - 1542 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.