January NAC

Vet-50 Men's Épée

Friday, January 5, 2024 at 8:00 AM

San Jose McEnery Convention Center - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 O'LOUGHLIN Chris S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
2 HITCHCOCK David 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52% 7%
3 GATES Darcy C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
3 LEE Tobias (Toby) T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
5 LICHTEN Keith H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
6 HERGERT Earl 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
7 GAINES Aaron 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 18%
8 BARREIRO Darren 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
9 MEHALL Michael 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
10 DEUCHER Joseph H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
11 MAYCHROWITZ Matt 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2%
12 HARGROVE Charles 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 5%
13 SNIDER Jeffrey H. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 9%
14 PRIHODKO Andrew 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
15 KAUFMAN Joel H. 100% 96% 68% 27% 5% -
16 CRANOR Erich L. 100% 100% 93% 66% 24% 2%
17 HUNTER Justin 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 8%
18 SPRINGER Michael 100% 99% 91% 62% 25% 4%
19 SPEICHER Eric V. 100% 100% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
20 SUPONYA Sergey 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 24%
21 KURITZ Marc M. 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3%
22 PALTINISEANU Sorin 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 25% 5%
23 FOSTER Kyle P. 100% 100% 94% 68% 27% 2%
24 CLAWSON Brian C. 100% 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1%
25 HELGE James R. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
26 HILLSTROM Nathan 100% 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% -
27 GREGORY Dean 100% 100% 96% 74% 36% 8% 1%
28 STEWART Robert 100% 96% 78% 46% 16% 3% -
29 ROOD Alex 100% 99% 90% 57% 20% 3% -
30 YAO Shun 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
31 PENGELLY Neil 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 7%
32 LEE Stephen K. 100% 96% 79% 48% 19% 4% -
33 KRYLTSOV Greg 100% 99% 87% 46% 12% 1% -
34 GAO "George" Xiaojiang 100% 89% 38% 7% - - -
35 GREENBAUM Isaac 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 5%
36 DAVIS Andrew 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 6% 1%
37 BRUS Brian V. 100% 96% 78% 46% 18% 4% -
38 LIU Nathan 100% 34% 5% - - - -
39 CLINEFELTER Dennis S. 100% 96% 80% 50% 20% 4% -
40 BAILEY Creston P. 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 16% 1%
41 MCNAMARA Scott 100% 100% 83% 45% 13% 2% -
42 WEINTRAUB Adam 100% 96% 72% 33% 9% 1% -
43 CHAO Warren 100% 43% 8% 1% - -
44 FLY Paul 100% 97% 75% 36% 9% 1%
45 GETSLA Christopher W. 100% 100% 93% 69% 32% 8% 1%
46 LOGUE Paul 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
47 LUONG Allen 100% 100% 96% 71% 28% 4% -
48 DJURISIC Zoran M. 100% 80% 34% 7% 1% - -
49 NEMAZIE David A. 100% 97% 72% 30% 5% -
50 MORALES Wayne w 100% 87% 48% 13% 2% - -
51 HOROWITZ David S. 100% 57% 13% 1% - - -
52 JEFFCOAT Timothy 100% 34% 5% - - -
53 ROGERS John D. 100% 6% - - - - -
54 FELDMAN Louis 100% 32% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.