January NAC

Div I Men's Saber

Friday, January 5, 2024 at 9:00 AM

San Jose McEnery Convention Center - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. - - 3% 19% 44% 34%
2 BENAVRAM Lev C. - - 1% 9% 30% 42% 18%
3 DODDO Andrew - - - - 1% 14% 86%
3 JI Cody Walter - - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
5 DOLEGIEWICZ Filip - - - - 3% 30% 67%
6 MORRILL William - - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
7 SARON Mitchell S. - - - - 9% 48% 43%
8 THOMPSON Khalil A. - - - - 3% 24% 73%
9 HOMER Daryl D. - - - - 1% 11% 89%
9 LINSKY Matthew - - 2% 9% 26% 40% 23%
11 WANG Nicolas 1% 5% 19% 34% 30% 11% < 1%
12 HEATHCOCK Colin Yang Siqi - - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
13 MACKIEWICZ Andrew A. - - - - - 9% 90%
14 ANDREEV Ilia - - - 1% 14% 50% 35%
15 HARLEY Colby A. - - - 3% 25% 71%
16 DHINGRA Gian K. - 3% 18% 40% 31% 8%
17 BURGUNDER Quinten (Quin) A. - - 1% 5% 21% 44% 30%
18 ESCUETA Tony V. - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 23%
19 PAN Jerry - 1% 8% 26% 39% 22% 4%
20 SMITH Jared C. - - - 3% 16% 41% 39%
21 SHOMAN Zachary - 3% 16% 33% 33% 14% 2%
22 JIANG Anthony - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 8%
23 MCBRIDE Jackson R. - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 25%
24 SO Hananiah - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
25 CHON Taylor A. - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 12%
26 WU Roger (Mengke) - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
27 LILOV Neil - - 1% 11% 38% 50%
28 CALLAHAN Jaden P. - - - 5% 23% 45% 27%
29 ATANASSOV Vasil V. - 2% 11% 31% 37% 16% 2%
30 YEN Darren - - - 5% 23% 45% 26%
31 KIM Stephen E. - - 5% 22% 44% 28%
32 OH Triton - 4% 20% 39% 30% 6% -
33 FIORETTO Luca - - - - 3% 23% 75%
34 WOOD Elden S. - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
35 COHEN Josef A. - - - - 1% 12% 88%
36 HEATHCOCK Antonio - - - - 3% 23% 74%
37 NAZLYMOV Andrei - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 8%
38 TE VELDE Noah C. - - - 4% 22% 44% 29%
38 KIM Shaun M. - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
38 CHOI Silas - 2% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
41 GONZALEZ Emilio A. - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
42 LEE Justin - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
43 WONG Ryan 3% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2%
44 PRIMUS Nazir - 2% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
45 HOLZ Daniel - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
46 LINDER James (Luke) L. - - - 1% 8% 35% 57%
46 KOGAN Benjamin - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
48 JEFFORDS Alexander - 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
49 PAN Jack (Yuxiang) 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
50 BERGER Oliver - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
51 WANG Robert 5% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
52 PRIEST Leighton K. - - 1% 9% 29% 42% 19%
53 MICLAUS Justin - 1% 5% 21% 38% 29% 6%
54 GREENBAUM Maxwell H. - 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4%
54 DODRILL Grant - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
56 BONIFIELD Arthur G. 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 2%
56 GUFFEY Christopher 1% 10% 30% 36% 18% 4% -
58 SOHN Kevin J. 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
59 NOBLE Daniel - 3% 13% 31% 36% 17% 1%
60 LIANG Connor - 2% 11% 35% 39% 13%
61 LEE Aydan J. 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 11% 2%
62 KWALWASSER Eric 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6% -
63 BERMAN Luca - 2% 11% 31% 38% 17% 1%
64 BAE Jason I. - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
65 REN James - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9% < 1%
66 WILLIAMS Grant W. - - - - 1% 13% 86%
67 CHEONG Heonjun 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
68 SHOMAN Noah 1% 5% 20% 35% 30% 10% -
69 CHTERENTAL Alex 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
70 WITEK Bernard J. - 2% 10% 30% 40% 18%
71 HOLZ William A. 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 2%
72 STURN Oliver 15% 39% 33% 11% 2% -
73 YANG Dylan 6% 26% 39% 23% 6% 1% -
74 STATEN-LUSTY Silas J. - 3% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
75 YANG Ziyi - 2% 11% 29% 37% 20% 2%
76 XU William - 1% 5% 22% 41% 29% 2%
77 MAROUF Eyad - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
78 YAO JINTAO 3% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
79 YANG Richard - 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 3%
80 MUSGRAVE Walter N. - 1% 6% 23% 39% 28% 3%
81 HU Christopher 9% 30% 37% 20% 4% - -
82 CHEONG Heonjae 1% 9% 24% 33% 23% 8% 1%
83 MUNGUIA Nathan 5% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1% -
84 TSE Aiden J 16% 40% 32% 11% 1% - -
85 KIM-COGAN Ryan 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 4% -
85 CHAN Matthew - 1% 9% 29% 39% 20% 2%
85 ROBERTS Sam - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 6%
88 BARRETO Elliott - 2% 9% 25% 35% 23% 5%
89 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
90 ZHANG Jeffrey 23% 42% 27% 7% 1% -
91 GLOZMAN Justin 4% 26% 39% 24% 6% -
92 ZUBATIY Samuel - 7% 25% 39% 24% 4%
93 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 2% 16% 36% 33% 12% 1%
94 GHAYALOD ansh 2% 14% 36% 35% 12% 1%
95 HONG Rubin 2% 15% 32% 32% 16% 3% -
96 LEE Noah 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
97 HUANG Alex F. 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
98 BABAYEV Gabriel A. - 2% 11% 29% 37% 20% 1%
99 HUANG Ethan F. - 2% 11% 31% 38% 17% 1%
100 GEFELL Andrew P. - - 3% 13% 30% 36% 17%
101 MULLENNIX Ethan M. - - 2% 9% 27% 39% 23%
102 PI Alexander 5% 23% 38% 25% 8% 1% -
103 JOHNSON Langston C. - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 6%
103 DEPEW Spencer 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3% -
105 DENG Andrew 1% 14% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
106 BERRIO Carter E. - 2% 10% 28% 35% 20% 4%
107 NOBLE Colin 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3% -
108 STONE Esmond A. 2% 14% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
109 HO Ian - 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 2%
110 MAKLIN Edward P. 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7% -
111 BERKAY Deniz 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
112 WANG Eric Y. - 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 2%
113 KALPATHY Rohit 15% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
114 FENG Leo 2% 14% 35% 35% 13% 2%
115 DALAL Rohan 13% 43% 33% 10% 1% -
116 MARGULIES William 1% 10% 31% 38% 18% 3%
117 PENG Bryan 12% 37% 36% 13% 2% -
118 SMITH David C. - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
119 SLASTIN Andrew - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12% 1%
120 PIWOWAR Alex 6% 24% 37% 24% 8% 1% -
121 KIM ELIJAH 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
122 LIU Lawrence 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
123 BOSITA Carson 17% 38% 31% 11% 2% - -
124 QIU Nathan 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 1% -
125 WANG Charles 1% 9% 28% 39% 21% 3% -
125 CASTRO-SOLIS HUGO ABEL - 1% 6% 31% 48% 13% 1%
127 YAO JINCHENG 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
128 LE Hayden 1% 6% 20% 33% 27% 11% 2%
129 HOUTZ Jackson 5% 24% 39% 26% 6% 1%
130 ROBINSON William 1% 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
131 MOON Sean H. - - - 5% 27% 54% 14%
132 SHAHZAD Azlan A. 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
133 HJERPE Wade H. - 2% 12% 32% 37% 15% 1%
134 SUBBIAH Prashanth V. - 4% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
135 BROU Inkosi 13% 36% 34% 14% 2% - -
136 YEN Preston 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6% -
137 BYON Julian 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
138 ZENG Noah 2% 14% 34% 32% 15% 3% -
139 KANG Evan R. 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
140 LUO George F. 3% 18% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
141 DENNER Maximilian P. - 6% 23% 37% 25% 7% -
142 TONG ZACHARY - 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% -
143 HU Zhao Xuanyu 8% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
144 DUDNICK Christian 18% 44% 30% 7% - - -
145 HAMMERSTROM Jared - 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
146 ZU Kevin - - 2% 9% 28% 40% 21%
147 KUSHKOV Daniel 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
147 MORRILL Justin - 4% 23% 48% 22% 3% -
147 RAMANAN Jaisimh 11% 33% 35% 16% 3% - -
150 BARRIOS Diego 13% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
151 LIN Steve 44% 40% 14% 2% - - -
152 HOLMES Aiden G. - 8% 30% 41% 19% 2%
153 LIN Daniel 7% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
154 BULL Anderson 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 4% -
155 TIAGI Daniel 19% 39% 30% 10% 1% - -
156 RAMANAN Govind 8% 28% 35% 21% 7% 1% -
157 SOWERS Samuel 11% 37% 35% 14% 3% - -
158 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -
158 ZHAO Lucas 22% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
160 TAO Jeffrey 26% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
161 PASTORE LIU Vince 12% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
162 ZHU Yuchen (Kevin) 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
163 CRAIG Samuel 2% 14% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
163 CHEN Samuel 35% 45% 17% 2% - - -
165 KANG Evan 26% 45% 23% 5% 1% - -
166 RIGGINS Littleton K. 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
166 PATIL Aaryan A. 1% 9% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
166 KOTOV Leonid 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2% -
169 BYON Adrian 3% 17% 34% 32% 13% 2% -
170 WHEELER Nathaniel C. 14% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
170 KUMAR Sachit 6% 23% 35% 26% 10% 1% -
172 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2% -
173 TENG MATTHEW 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
174 VO Minh Q. 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
175 YAN Kevin 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
176 GREENBAUM Ian L. 13% 38% 35% 12% 2% -
177 MICHELL Bailey 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2%
178 SCHARDINE James 26% 44% 25% 5% - -
179 VAID Luke 3% 16% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
180 HAN William 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
181 SUORSA Markus 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
181 KILARI Krish 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
183 MATTOO Surya 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
183 FIELDS Matthew S. 3% 19% 39% 29% 9% 1% -
185 ZHANG Derek 2% 10% 27% 34% 21% 5% -
186 ERMAKOV Semeon 4% 19% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
187 MATTOO Deven 67% 28% 5% - - - -
187 AKS Ari 11% 31% 35% 18% 5% - -
189 MAY Griffin M. 20% 40% 29% 10% 2% - -
190 CHOI HYUNSEOK - 4% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
191 EYBELMAN Ariel 34% 42% 19% 4% - - -
192 BONSELL Vance 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
192 HONG Steven 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
192 SU Landon 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1% -
195 MAHAPATRA SAMARTH 9% 31% 36% 19% 4% - -
196 CHAVES Matthew J. 2% 11% 30% 36% 17% 3% -
197 GOLDIN Lucca 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
198 YERRAMILLI Tejas 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
199 FALCON-KORB Mathis 20% 42% 29% 8% 1% - -
200 NG Jonathan 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
201 HWANG Jayden 5% 25% 39% 25% 6% - -
202 SO Si Hang Alvin 32% 43% 21% 4% - -
203 GAO Albert 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
203 SHIPITSIN Alexander 26% 45% 23% 5% - - -
205 BOOTH Zaheer < 1% 1% 5% 25% 45% 24%
206 CHEN Howard 1% 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
206 ROSBERG Dashiell W. 8% 34% 42% 15% 2% - -
206 FOX Gavin 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
209 POFF Kainoa 12% 38% 34% 13% 3% - -
209 ZHANG Yupeng 20% 40% 29% 9% 1% - -
211 BAUER Hank E. 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1% -
211 LIM Joshua 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
211 CHOKSI Vihaan 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
214 KAKEHI Nicholas B. 32% 42% 21% 5% - -
214 WANG William 53% 36% 9% 1% - -
216 HUANG Zekai 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
217 TANN Justin 1% 12% 31% 34% 18% 5% -
218 AERY FALLICK Ozzie 8% 32% 37% 18% 4% - -
219 VENU Ram 44% 41% 13% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.