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Event Results

Div I Men's Saber

January NACSurprise Map

Friday, January 5, 2024 at 9:00 AM San Jose McEnery Convention Center · San Jose, CA, USA
219 finishers
Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength
Birth year

Outcome Surprises

Legend

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. V V V V V V V V V V V V 4.1 5 +0.9
2 BENAVRAM Lev C. V D V D V V V V V V V V D 4.7 4 -0.7
3 DODDO Andrew V V D V V V V V V V V D 5.8 5 -0.8
3 JI Cody Walter V V V V V V V V V V V D 5.1 6 +0.9
5 DOLEGIEWICZ Filip V V V V V V V V V V D 5.6 6 +0.4
6 MORRILL William V V V V V V V V V V D 5.2 6 +0.8
7 SARON Mitchell S. V V V V V V V V V V D 5.3 6 +0.7
8 THOMPSON Khalil A. V D V V V V V V V V D 5.7 5 -0.7
9 HOMER Daryl D. V V V V V V V V V D 5.9 6 +0.1
9 LINSKY Matthew V V V V V V V V V D 4.7 6 +1.3
11 WANG Nicolas V V V V V V V V V D 3.2 6 +2.8
12 HEATHCOCK Colin Yang Siqi D V V V V V V V V D 4.5 5 +0.5
13 MACKIEWICZ Andrew A. D V V V V V V V V D 5.9 5 -0.9
14 ANDREEV Ilia V D V V V V V V V D 5.2 5 -0.2
15 HARLEY Colby A. V V V V D V V V D 4.7 4 -0.7
16 DHINGRA Gian K. V D V D V V V V D 3.2 3 -0.2
17 BURGUNDER Quinten (Quin) A. V V V V V V V V D 5.0 6 +1.0
18 ESCUETA Tony V. V V V V V V V V D 4.7 6 +1.3
19 PAN Jerry V V V V V V V V D 3.9 6 +2.1
20 SMITH Jared C. V D V V V V V V D 5.2 5 -0.2
21 SHOMAN Zachary V D V V V V V V D 3.4 5 +1.6
22 JIANG Anthony V V V V D V V V D 4.2 5 +0.8
23 MCBRIDE Jackson R. V D V V V V V V D 4.8 5 +0.2
24 SO Hananiah V V V V D V V V D 4.1 5 +0.9
25 CHON Taylor A. V V V D V V V V D 4.3 5 +0.7
26 WU Roger (Mengke) D V V V V V V D 3.7 4 +0.3
27 LILOV Neil V V D V V V V D 4.4 4 -0.4
28 CALLAHAN Jaden P. V V D D V V V V D 4.9 4 -0.9
29 ATANASSOV Vasil V. D V V V V D V V D 3.6 4 +0.4
30 YEN Darren D V V V D V V V D 4.9 4 -0.9
31 KIM Stephen E. V D D V V V V D 3.9 3 -0.9
32 OH Triton V V D D V D V V V D 3.1 3 -0.1
33 FIORETTO Luca V V V V V V V D 5.7 6 +0.3
34 WOOD Elden S. V V V V V V V D 4.8 6 +1.2
35 COHEN Josef A. V D V V V V V D 5.9 5 -0.9
36 HEATHCOCK Antonio V V V D V V V D 5.7 5 -0.7
37 NAZLYMOV Andrei D V V V V V V D 4.0 5 +1.0
38 TE VELDE Noah C. V V V V V D V D 5.0 5 -
38 KIM Shaun M. V D V V V V V D 3.5 5 +1.5
38 CHOI Silas V V V D V V V D 3.9 5 +1.1
41 GONZALEZ Emilio A. D V V V V V V D 4.0 5 +1.0
42 LEE Justin V V D V V V V D 3.9 5 +1.1
43 WONG Ryan V V D V V V D 2.4 4 +1.6
44 PRIMUS Nazir V V D V V D V D 3.9 4 +0.1
45 HOLZ Daniel V V V V D D V D 3.5 4 +0.5
46 LINDER James (Luke) L. V D D V V V V D 5.5 4 -1.5
46 KOGAN Benjamin V D V V D V V D 4.2 4 -0.2
48 JEFFORDS Alexander V V D D V V V D 3.3 4 +0.7
49 PAN Jack (Yuxiang) D V D V V V V D 3.2 4 +0.8
50 BERGER Oliver V D V D V V V D 4.0 4 -
51 WANG Robert V V V V D D V D 2.1 4 +1.9
52 PRIEST Leighton K. D V V V V D V D 4.7 4 -0.7
53 MICLAUS Justin V D D V V V V D 4.1 4 -0.1
54 GREENBAUM Maxwell H. V V V V D D V D 3.9 4 +0.1
54 DODRILL Grant D V V V V D V D 3.9 4 +0.1
56 BONIFIELD Arthur G. V D V V D V V D 3.1 4 +0.9
56 GUFFEY Christopher V V V D D V V D 2.7 4 +1.3
58 SOHN Kevin J. V V V D V D V D 3.3 4 +0.7
59 NOBLE Daniel V D V D V V V D 3.5 4 +0.5
60 LIANG Connor D V D V V V D 3.5 3 -0.5
61 LEE Aydan J. V D V V D D V V D 3.2 3 -0.2
62 KWALWASSER Eric V D D V V D V V D 3.0 3 -
63 BERMAN Luca D D D V V V V V D 3.6 3 -0.6
64 BAE Jason I. D D D V D V V V D 3.3 2 -1.3
65 REN James V V V V V V D 3.2 6 +2.8
66 WILLIAMS Grant W. D V V V V V D 5.8 5 -0.8
67 CHEONG Heonjun V V D V V V D 3.0 5 +2.0
68 SHOMAN Noah V V V V V D D 3.2 5 +1.8
69 CHTERENTAL Alex V V V V D V D 2.7 5 +2.3
70 WITEK Bernard J. V V V D V D 3.6 4 +0.4
71 HOLZ William A. V D V V V D 2.7 4 +1.3
72 STURN Oliver V V V V D D 1.4 4 +2.6
73 YANG Dylan D V V V V D D 2.0 4 +2.0
74 STATEN-LUSTY Silas J. V V D D V V D 3.5 4 +0.5
75 YANG Ziyi D V D V V V D 3.7 4 +0.3
76 XU William V V V D V D D 4.0 4 -
77 MAROUF Eyad D V V D V V D 5.0 4 -1.0
78 YAO JINTAO V V V D V D D 2.6 4 +1.4
79 YANG Richard V D D V V V D 3.7 4 +0.3
80 MUSGRAVE Walter N. V V D V V D D 4.0 4 -
81 HU Christopher V D D V V V D 1.8 4 +2.2
82 CHEONG Heonjae V V V D V D D 3.0 4 +1.0
83 MUNGUIA Nathan V D V D V V D 2.1 4 +1.9
84 TSE Aiden J D V V V V D D 1.4 4 +2.6
85 KIM-COGAN Ryan D D V V V V D 2.7 4 +1.3
85 CHAN Matthew V V V D D V D 3.7 4 +0.3
85 ROBERTS Sam V D D V V V D 3.9 4 +0.1
88 BARRETO Elliott V D V V D V D 3.9 4 +0.1
89 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. V D V V V D D 3.9 4 +0.1
90 ZHANG Jeffrey V V D D V D 1.2 3 +1.8
91 GLOZMAN Justin D V V D V D 2.0 3 +1.0
92 ZUBATIY Samuel D D V V V D 2.9 3 +0.1
93 LINDHOLM Oliver S. V V D V D D 2.4 3 +0.6
94 GHAYALOD ansh V V D D V V D 2.4 3 +0.6
95 HONG Rubin V D V V D D V D 2.5 3 +0.5
96 LEE Noah D V V D V D V D 1.6 3 +1.4
97 HUANG Alex F. D V V V D D V D 2.6 3 +0.4
98 BABAYEV Gabriel A. D D D V V V V D 3.6 3 -0.6
99 HUANG Ethan F. V V V D D D V D 3.6 3 -0.6
100 GEFELL Andrew P. D D D V V V V D 4.5 3 -1.5
101 MULLENNIX Ethan M. D D V V V D V D 4.7 3 -1.7
102 PI Alexander V D D D V V V D 2.1 3 +0.9
103 JOHNSON Langston C. V V D D V D V D 3.9 3 -0.9
103 DEPEW Spencer D V V V D D V D 2.5 3 +0.5
105 DENG Andrew D V V D V D V D 2.6 3 +0.4
106 BERRIO Carter E. V V D D D V V D 3.8 3 -0.8
107 NOBLE Colin V D D V D V V D 2.6 3 +0.4
108 STONE Esmond A. V V D D V D V D 2.6 3 +0.4
109 HO Ian D V D V V D V D 3.4 3 -0.4
110 MAKLIN Edward P. V D D V D V V D 3.0 3 -
111 BERKAY Deniz V D D V D V V D 3.0 3 -
112 WANG Eric Y. D D V V D V V D 3.6 3 -0.6
113 KALPATHY Rohit D V D D V V V D 1.5 3 +1.5
114 FENG Leo D D V D V V D 2.5 2 -0.5
115 DALAL Rohan D V V D D V D 1.4 2 +0.6
116 MARGULIES William V D V D D V D 2.7 2 -0.7
117 PENG Bryan D D V V D V D 1.6 2 +0.4
118 SMITH David C. D V D V D D V D 4.2 2 -2.2
119 SLASTIN Andrew D D V D D V V D 3.4 2 -1.4
120 PIWOWAR Alex D D V V D D V D 2.1 2 -0.1
121 KIM ELIJAH V D V D D D V D 2.1 2 -0.1
122 LIU Lawrence D D D V V D V D 1.2 2 +0.8
123 BOSITA Carson V D D D V D V D 1.4 2 +0.6
124 QIU Nathan V D D D V D V D 2.2 2 -0.2
125 WANG Charles D D D V D V V D 2.8 2 -0.8
125 CASTRO-SOLIS HUGO ABEL D D D D V V V D 3.7 2 -1.7
127 YAO JINCHENG V D D D D V V D 3.0 2 -1.0
128 LE Hayden D D D V V D V D 3.2 2 -1.2
129 HOUTZ Jackson D V V V D D 2.1 3 +0.9
130 ROBINSON William V D V D V D D 3.0 3 -
131 MOON Sean H. V D D V V D D 4.8 3 -1.8
132 SHAHZAD Azlan A. V D D V D V D 2.3 3 +0.7
133 HJERPE Wade H. D D D V V V D 3.5 3 -0.5
134 SUBBIAH Prashanth V. V D V V D D D 3.4 3 -0.4
135 BROU Inkosi V D V D D V D 1.6 3 +1.4
136 YEN Preston V D V D V D D 2.9 3 +0.1
137 BYON Julian V V V D D D D 2.0 3 +1.0
138 ZENG Noah V D D V V D D 2.6 3 +0.4
139 KANG Evan R. D V D V D V D 1.8 3 +1.2
140 LUO George F. V V D D D V D 2.4 3 +0.6
141 DENNER Maximilian P. D D V D V V D 3.0 3 -
142 TONG ZACHARY V D D D V V D 3.2 3 -0.2
143 HU Zhao Xuanyu D V V D V D D 1.9 3 +1.1
144 DUDNICK Christian V D V V D D D 1.3 3 +1.7
145 HAMMERSTROM Jared V V D V D D D 3.6 3 -0.6
146 ZU Kevin D D V D V V D 4.7 3 -1.7
147 KUSHKOV Daniel D V V V D D D 1.8 3 +1.2
147 MORRILL Justin V V D D V D D 3.0 3 -
147 RAMANAN Jaisimh D V D V D V D 1.7 3 +1.3
150 BARRIOS Diego D V V D V D D 1.6 3 +1.4
151 LIN Steve D V D V D V D 0.8 3 +2.2
152 HOLMES Aiden G. D D D V V D 2.8 2 -0.8
153 LIN Daniel D D V V D D 1.9 2 +0.1
154 BULL Anderson D V V D D D D 2.7 2 -0.7
155 TIAGI Daniel D D V V D D D 1.4 2 +0.6
156 RAMANAN Govind D V V D D D D 1.9 2 +0.1
157 SOWERS Samuel D V D V D D D 1.6 2 +0.4
158 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. D D V V D D D 1.3 2 +0.7
158 ZHAO Lucas V D D D D V D 1.2 2 +0.8
160 TAO Jeffrey D V D D D V D 1.2 2 +0.8
161 PASTORE LIU Vince V D D D D V D 1.6 2 +0.4
162 ZHU Yuchen (Kevin) V D D D V D D 1.7 2 +0.3
163 CRAIG Samuel D V D D D V D 2.6 2 -0.6
163 CHEN Samuel D V V D D D D 0.9 2 +1.1
165 KANG Evan D V D D V D D 1.1 2 +0.9
166 RIGGINS Littleton K. V D D V D D D 2.3 2 -0.3
166 PATIL Aaryan A. V D D D V D D 3.0 2 -1.0
166 KOTOV Leonid D V D D D V D 2.4 2 -0.4
169 BYON Adrian D V V D D D 2.4 2 -0.4
170 WHEELER Nathaniel C. D D D D V V 1.6 2 +0.4
170 KUMAR Sachit D V D V D D 2.1 2 -0.1
172 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu D V D D D V 2.5 2 -0.5
173 TENG MATTHEW V V D D D D 2.0 2 -
174 VO Minh Q. V D D D D V 1.7 2 +0.3
175 YAN Kevin D D V D D V 2.0 2 -
176 GREENBAUM Ian L. D V D D D 1.5 1 -0.5
177 MICHELL Bailey V D D D D 2.4 1 -1.4
178 SCHARDINE James V D D D D 1.1 1 -0.1
179 VAID Luke D D D D V D 2.5 1 -1.5
180 HAN William D D D D V D 2.4 1 -1.4
181 SUORSA Markus D V D D D D 2.1 1 -1.1
181 KILARI Krish D D V D D D 1.5 1 -0.5
183 MATTOO Surya V D D D D D 1.4 1 -0.4
183 FIELDS Matthew S. D V D D D D 2.3 1 -1.3
185 ZHANG Derek D V D D D D 2.8 1 -1.8
186 ERMAKOV Semeon D D V D D D 2.4 1 -1.4
187 MATTOO Deven D D V D D D 0.4 1 +0.6
187 AKS Ari D D D V D D 1.8 1 -0.8
189 MAY Griffin M. D D D D V D 1.3 1 -0.3
190 CHOI HYUNSEOK D D D D V D 3.5 1 -2.5
191 EYBELMAN Ariel D D V D D D 0.9 1 +0.1
192 BONSELL Vance D V D D D D 1.4 1 -0.4
192 HONG Steven D D D D D V 2.7 1 -1.7
192 SU Landon D D D V D D 2.1 1 -1.1
195 MAHAPATRA SAMARTH V D D D D D 1.8 1 -0.8
196 CHAVES Matthew J. D D V D D D 2.7 1 -1.7
197 GOLDIN Lucca D V D D D D 1.2 1 -0.2
198 YERRAMILLI Tejas D V D D D D 1.2 1 -0.2
199 FALCON-KORB Mathis V D D D D D 1.3 1 -0.3
200 NG Jonathan D D D V D D 1.9 1 -0.9
201 HWANG Jayden D D V D D D 2.0 1 -1.0
202 SO Si Hang Alvin D D D D D 1.0 0 -1.0
203 GAO Albert D D D D D D 2.2 0 -2.2
203 SHIPITSIN Alexander D D D D D D 1.1 0 -1.1
205 BOOTH Zaheer D D D D D 3.9 0 -3.9
206 CHEN Howard D D D D D D 3.1 0 -3.1
206 ROSBERG Dashiell W. D D D D D D 1.7 0 -1.7
206 FOX Gavin D D D D D D 1.5 0 -1.5
209 POFF Kainoa D D D D D D 1.6 0 -1.6
209 ZHANG Yupeng D D D D D D 1.3 0 -1.3
211 BAUER Hank E. D D D D D D 2.2 0 -2.2
211 LIM Joshua D D D D D D 1.1 0 -1.1
211 CHOKSI Vihaan D D D D D D 1.2 0 -1.2
214 KAKEHI Nicholas B. D D D D D 1.0 0 -1.0
214 WANG William D D D D D 0.6 0 -0.6
216 HUANG Zekai D D D D D D 1.6 0 -1.6
217 TANN Justin D D D D D D 2.7 0 -2.7
218 AERY FALLICK Ozzie D D D D D D 1.8 0 -1.8
219 VENU Ram D D D D D D 0.7 0 -0.7

Legend

Color Outcome Difficulty Win Probability
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%