Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-14 Men's Saber

Saturday, January 13, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HUANG Alex F. - - - - 2% 20% 78%
2 KIM ELIJAH - - - - 3% 28% 68%
3 VAID Luke - - - - 4% 27% 68%
3 ZHAO Lucas - - - 4% 20% 44% 31%
5 PATEL Rayn - - - 1% 7% 32% 60%
6 GONG zihao - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
6 SO Preston - - - 2% 11% 38% 49%
8 MEHAN Nicholas - - - - 4% 27% 69%
9 KIM Kendrick - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
10 ANTHONY Devyn V. - - - - 4% 34% 62%
11 GONZALEZ Jake - - 1% 7% 24% 40% 26%
12 OH Aster - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 28%
13 CLARK Aram - - - 3% 24% 73%
14 BIVIJI Ali - - 1% 7% 27% 45% 19%
15 MEYERSON Jacob - - 1% 6% 27% 51% 16%
16 WEI Rian - 2% 12% 34% 39% 12%
17 LIN Philip T. - - - 2% 14% 44% 40%
18 LEE Andrew - - - 3% 16% 42% 40%
19 NGO Maximus - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
20 SASSI Ilyas - 3% 13% 31% 35% 17% 1%
20 BROENING-CHAI Jonas 1% 8% 22% 33% 25% 9% 1%
22 LEE Brady - 5% 24% 40% 25% 5%
23 XU Ivan - 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
24 NARDINI Nathanael P. - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19%
25 WANG Justin - - - - 3% 29% 68%
26 URSU Marcel T. - - - 1% 8% 33% 59%
27 CIEMINS Henry - 4% 16% 33% 31% 14% 2%
28 DEELY Hartigan 1% 9% 27% 37% 21% 5% -
29 YANG Phillip - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
30 VUONG Kyle Ka-Him - 1% 6% 23% 37% 27% 6%
31 LI Coby 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
32 HE Zhikai (kyle) - 6% 27% 39% 22% 5% -
33 FANG Eason - 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
34 DOMINIQUE Remson - - 1% 7% 32% 49% 11%
35 SRIVATS Vedh - - 1% 7% 32% 43% 17%
36 LIEBOWITZ Carson 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
37 SADHU Neiyam - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
38 GUREVICH Benjamin - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
39 KITSON Chase - 1% 8% 26% 41% 25%
40 HARDRICK Noah 1% 7% 29% 40% 20% 3%
41 NOVOSYOLOK Zachary - - 1% 14% 41% 35% 9%
42 YOOK Isaac - 1% 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
43 SHAH Sohan - 2% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
44 HU Harry - - 4% 17% 36% 33% 9%
45 GOMEZ Emilio 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
46 FENG Brendan 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
47 LUC Cedric 2% 15% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
48 ZHANG Kaixuan - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
49 ONG Dylan - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 4%
49 VALENCIA Jose - 1% 8% 24% 36% 24% 6%
51 ZHOU William - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 8%
52 NGO Emerson 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 7% 1%
53 ALAVE Kyle - - 3% 19% 43% 34%
54 LAU Kyrus 1% 10% 30% 38% 19% 2%
55 CRAWFORD William 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
56 YANG Si He - 3% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3%
56 LIU Daniel 7% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
58 CHAMBERS Miles - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
59 DAI Zihou 1% 5% 19% 34% 29% 10% 1%
59 LUAN Mark - 2% 10% 27% 34% 22% 5%
61 AGARWAAL Yohan 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 12% 2%
62 LIU Victor - - 1% 9% 28% 41% 21%
62 WANG Alex - 3% 19% 45% 26% 6% -
64 KIARA Kinoti - 3% 15% 38% 36% 8% -
65 PARKILA Lukas - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
66 LIU Yijin 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
67 MCDONALD Finn - - 4% 22% 47% 24% 3%
68 LIU Aaron - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
69 PINTO Marcus - - - 4% 19% 41% 36%
70 TSAO Alister 2% 12% 32% 36% 16% 2% -
71 BADMUS Joshua - 4% 20% 40% 29% 6% -
72 BAI Evan - 1% 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
73 RINALDI Savio - 5% 25% 40% 24% 5% -
74 PORTER Dupree - 2% 12% 30% 36% 18% 3%
75 SONG Aidan 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 7% -
76 TRZEPLA Max 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
77 LIU ERIC 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% -
78 SARWAHI Viraat - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 1%
79 SIDDAMSHETTY Ishaan 1% 7% 28% 38% 21% 4% -
80 KOZLOV Lucas - 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
81 ZHAO Lucas 2% 12% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
82 DOSTAL Maximilian 2% 18% 35% 30% 12% 3% -
83 KIM Samuel 1% 7% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1%
84 SANTIAGO Roman 8% 31% 39% 18% 3% - -
85 BARRY Dave 5% 26% 39% 24% 6% -
86 PERRIN Leo 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% -
87 ANAND Rishab - 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7%
88 GORDON Samuel 4% 19% 33% 28% 13% 3% -
88 EPLETT Nicholas 1% 10% 27% 34% 22% 6% -
90 HU Jayden 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
91 LIU Ryan - 4% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2%
92 SALDARINI Glenn - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18% 1%
93 CHENG Sawyer - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
94 ONUGHA II Emeka 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
94 BALU Aedan - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
96 LIN Brendan 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
96 SOKOLOV Arseniy 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
98 LI Huangziyue - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12% 2%
99 KETT Richard 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
100 COGLIANO Max 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
101 MENZIES Liam 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
102 YU BOWEN - 1% 4% 18% 37% 33% 7%
102 WONG Hawken - 4% 18% 33% 31% 13% 1%
104 WANG tiger 3% 20% 37% 28% 10% 2% -
105 CHAWLA Abhishek 11% 34% 35% 16% 4% - -
106 BIVIJI Adam 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
107 BARENBOYM Michael 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
108 ZHAO Royce - 3% 18% 39% 32% 8%
109 KIM Yusung 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
110 GAO Kai 13% 34% 34% 16% 3% -
110 CHANG Ethan 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2%
112 MORGAN Abrahm H. - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
113 PEREIRA Beckham - 1% 9% 27% 40% 21% 2%
114 KARAVAS Nicholas 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
115 MERMEGAS Alexander - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
116 ROH Jaden 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
117 WONG Max 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
118 MANNINO Miller 14% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
119 SLAVNOV Anton 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1% -
120 CAI fungyu 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
121 CHEN Mannis 25% 47% 23% 5% - -
122 SO Morgan 3% 18% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
123 PAUL James 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
124 GRABOWSKI Alexander 4% 19% 34% 28% 12% 3% -
125 BELAND Riley James "RJ" 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% -
126 LYU Tyler 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
127 LIEU Nicholas 5% 25% 37% 24% 8% 1% -
128 BROOKS Isaac 11% 34% 35% 16% 4% - -
129 SUN Stephen 11% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
130 LUCAS William 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
131 MBERIA Alexander 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
132 ZHANG Aiden 16% 40% 33% 11% 1% - -
133 LAMTAN Christoffer - 3% 15% 38% 35% 9% -
134 JOHNSON Leland - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 4%
135 AVERY Marcus 3% 16% 34% 31% 13% 3% -
136 OTT William 34% 42% 19% 4% - -
137 HENRY Cadel 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
138 JI Johnson 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
139 LIU Ethan 5% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
140 LUO Leonard - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
141 MEHTA Yash 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
142 JAVIER Xavier 14% 34% 32% 16% 4% 1% -
143 TAYCHER Aaron 1% 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% -
144 LVOFF Leo 10% 34% 38% 16% 3% - -
145 SAYAR Luke 1% 8% 29% 38% 20% 3% -
146 YAO Zachary 15% 42% 34% 8% 1% - -
147 NAFTALI Ori 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
148 BONGIORNO Wesley 5% 24% 38% 25% 6% -
149 WONG Mac 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1%
150 YANG Byron 1% 11% 32% 38% 17% 1%
151 SIMEONIDIS Philippos 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% -
152 AO Christopher - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
153 KANIA Alexander 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
154 GRABOWSKI Stanley 32% 41% 21% 5% 1% - -
155 NIEJADLIK Samuel 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
155 WANG Tim 38% 41% 17% 4% - - -
155 TASIKAS Peter 3% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3% -
158 LEE Damian 43% 40% 14% 3% - - -
159 OREN Daniel 4% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
160 BROOKS Theo 18% 42% 30% 9% 1% - -
161 MIAO Heqi - 3% 18% 37% 31% 9% 1%
161 FARBER Jake 47% 43% 9% 1% - - -
161 KOHLER Vaughn 18% 37% 30% 12% 3% - -
164 LEMERY Marc 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
165 MARSHQUIST Miles 27% 47% 22% 4% - - -
166 CAREY Sam 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
166 EARLEY Jack 18% 41% 31% 9% 1% - -
166 BROOKS Drake 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
169 CUSSON William 34% 41% 20% 5% 1% - -
170 DATTILIO Aidan 32% 46% 19% 3% - - -
170 HOWERTON Beckett 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
172 SUH Leo 17% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
173 FIROOZI Sam 56% 34% 8% 1% - - -
174 YAO Kellon(Yukun) 10% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
175 HAIRABEDIAN Ellis 20% 40% 29% 10% 2% - -
176 CHEN Allen 20% 42% 29% 7% 1% - -
177 SAUVE Quinn 36% 44% 17% 3% - - -
178 SUAREZ-ARANGO Gabriel 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
179 D'AMELJ Edoardo 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
179 YANG Justin 23% 42% 27% 8% 1% - -
179 LIU Jayden 7% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
179 YANG yanbo 2% 35% 48% 14% 2% - -
183 LEE Ezra 40% 45% 13% 2% - -
184 DE HOSSON Finn 57% 34% 8% 1% - - -
185 XUE Conghuan 3% 27% 42% 23% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.