Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-14 Men's Saber

Saturday, January 13, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HUANG Alex F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78%
2 KIM ELIJAH 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 68%
3 VAID Luke 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 68%
3 ZHAO Lucas 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 31%
5 PATEL Rayn 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 60%
6 GONG zihao 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
6 SO Preston 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
8 MEHAN Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
9 KIM Kendrick 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
10 ANTHONY Devyn V. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 62%
11 GONZALEZ Jake 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 26%
12 OH Aster 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
13 CLARK Aram 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
14 BIVIJI Ali 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 19%
15 MEYERSON Jacob 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 67% 16%
16 WEI Rian 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 12%
17 LIN Philip T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
18 LEE Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
19 NGO Maximus 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
20 SASSI Ilyas 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 18% 1%
20 BROENING-CHAI Jonas 100% 99% 91% 69% 36% 11% 1%
22 LEE Brady 100% 100% 95% 71% 30% 5%
23 XU Ivan 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 16% 2%
24 NARDINI Nathanael P. 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 19%
25 WANG Justin 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
26 URSU Marcel T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 59%
27 CIEMINS Henry 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
28 DEELY Hartigan 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5% -
29 YANG Phillip 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
30 VUONG Kyle Ka-Him 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
31 LI Coby 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
32 HE Zhikai (kyle) 100% 100% 93% 66% 28% 5% -
33 FANG Eason 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
34 DOMINIQUE Remson 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 60% 11%
35 SRIVATS Vedh 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 60% 17%
36 LIEBOWITZ Carson 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4% -
37 SADHU Neiyam 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
38 GUREVICH Benjamin 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
39 KITSON Chase 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25%
40 HARDRICK Noah 100% 99% 92% 63% 24% 3%
41 NOVOSYOLOK Zachary 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44% 9%
42 YOOK Isaac 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 13%
43 SHAH Sohan 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 26% 5%
44 HU Harry 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 9%
45 GOMEZ Emilio 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
46 FENG Brendan 100% 98% 86% 55% 22% 4% -
47 LUC Cedric 100% 98% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
48 ZHANG Kaixuan 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 5%
49 ONG Dylan 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 23% 4%
49 VALENCIA Jose 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 6%
51 ZHOU William 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
52 NGO Emerson 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 8% 1%
53 ALAVE Kyle 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
54 LAU Kyrus 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 2%
55 CRAWFORD William 100% 94% 69% 32% 7% 1%
56 YANG Si He 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
56 LIU Daniel 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
58 CHAMBERS Miles 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
59 DAI Zihou 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 11% 1%
59 LUAN Mark 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 5%
61 AGARWAAL Yohan 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
62 LIU Victor 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
62 WANG Alex 100% 100% 97% 78% 32% 6% -
64 KIARA Kinoti 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 8% -
65 PARKILA Lukas 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
66 LIU Yijin 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
67 MCDONALD Finn 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 27% 3%
68 LIU Aaron 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
69 PINTO Marcus 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 36%
70 TSAO Alister 100% 98% 87% 55% 19% 2% -
71 BADMUS Joshua 100% 100% 96% 76% 35% 6% -
72 BAI Evan 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 41% 10%
73 RINALDI Savio 100% 100% 94% 69% 29% 5% -
74 PORTER Dupree 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
75 SONG Aidan 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% -
76 TRZEPLA Max 100% 96% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
77 LIU ERIC 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 6% -
78 SARWAHI Viraat 100% 100% 95% 79% 47% 15% 1%
79 SIDDAMSHETTY Ishaan 100% 99% 92% 64% 25% 4% -
80 KOZLOV Lucas 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
81 ZHAO Lucas 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
82 DOSTAL Maximilian 100% 98% 80% 45% 15% 3% -
83 KIM Samuel 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
84 SANTIAGO Roman 100% 92% 61% 22% 3% - -
85 BARRY Dave 100% 95% 69% 30% 6% -
86 PERRIN Leo 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% -
87 ANAND Rishab 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 7%
88 GORDON Samuel 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
88 EPLETT Nicholas 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 6% -
90 HU Jayden 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
91 LIU Ryan 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 14% 2%
92 SALDARINI Glenn 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19% 1%
93 CHENG Sawyer 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 2%
94 ONUGHA II Emeka 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 7% 1%
94 BALU Aedan 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 12% 1%
96 LIN Brendan 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
96 SOKOLOV Arseniy 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
98 LI Huangziyue 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 14% 2%
99 KETT Richard 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
100 COGLIANO Max 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
101 MENZIES Liam 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
102 YU BOWEN 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 40% 7%
102 WONG Hawken 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 14% 1%
104 WANG tiger 100% 97% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
105 CHAWLA Abhishek 100% 89% 56% 20% 4% - -
106 BIVIJI Adam 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
107 BARENBOYM Michael 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
108 ZHAO Royce 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 8%
109 KIM Yusung 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
110 GAO Kai 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% -
110 CHANG Ethan 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 2%
112 MORGAN Abrahm H. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
113 PEREIRA Beckham 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23% 2%
114 KARAVAS Nicholas 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
115 MERMEGAS Alexander 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 18% 3%
116 ROH Jaden 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
117 WONG Max 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 2% -
118 MANNINO Miller 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% - -
119 SLAVNOV Anton 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1% -
120 CAI fungyu 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 9% 1%
121 CHEN Mannis 100% 75% 28% 5% - -
122 SO Morgan 100% 97% 79% 45% 16% 3% -
123 PAUL James 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
124 GRABOWSKI Alexander 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
125 BELAND Riley James "RJ" 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 8% -
126 LYU Tyler 100% 76% 36% 10% 1% - -
127 LIEU Nicholas 100% 95% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
128 BROOKS Isaac 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
129 SUN Stephen 100% 89% 57% 21% 4% -
130 LUCAS William 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 8% 1%
131 MBERIA Alexander 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
132 ZHANG Aiden 100% 84% 45% 12% 1% - -
133 LAMTAN Christoffer 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 10% -
134 JOHNSON Leland 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 4%
135 AVERY Marcus 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
136 OTT William 100% 66% 23% 4% - -
137 HENRY Cadel 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
138 JI Johnson 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% 1%
139 LIU Ethan 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
140 LUO Leonard 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
141 MEHTA Yash 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
142 JAVIER Xavier 100% 86% 53% 20% 5% 1% -
143 TAYCHER Aaron 100% 99% 87% 55% 21% 4% -
144 LVOFF Leo 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% - -
145 SAYAR Luke 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 3% -
146 YAO Zachary 100% 85% 43% 9% 1% - -
147 NAFTALI Ori 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
148 BONGIORNO Wesley 100% 95% 70% 32% 7% -
149 WONG Mac 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
150 YANG Byron 100% 99% 88% 56% 18% 1%
151 SIMEONIDIS Philippos 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 7% -
152 AO Christopher 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
153 KANIA Alexander 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
154 GRABOWSKI Stanley 100% 68% 27% 6% 1% - -
155 NIEJADLIK Samuel 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
155 WANG Tim 100% 62% 22% 4% - - -
155 TASIKAS Peter 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 3% -
158 LEE Damian 100% 57% 17% 3% - - -
159 OREN Daniel 100% 96% 74% 37% 11% 1% -
160 BROOKS Theo 100% 82% 40% 9% 1% - -
161 MIAO Heqi 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 10% 1%
161 FARBER Jake 100% 53% 10% 1% - - -
161 KOHLER Vaughn 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
164 LEMERY Marc 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
165 MARSHQUIST Miles 100% 73% 26% 4% - - -
166 CAREY Sam 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
166 EARLEY Jack 100% 82% 40% 10% 1% - -
166 BROOKS Drake 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
169 CUSSON William 100% 66% 25% 5% 1% - -
170 DATTILIO Aidan 100% 68% 23% 4% - - -
170 HOWERTON Beckett 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
172 SUH Leo 100% 83% 43% 13% 2% - -
173 FIROOZI Sam 100% 44% 9% 1% - - -
174 YAO Kellon(Yukun) 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
175 HAIRABEDIAN Ellis 100% 80% 41% 11% 2% - -
176 CHEN Allen 100% 80% 37% 8% 1% - -
177 SAUVE Quinn 100% 64% 20% 3% - - -
178 SUAREZ-ARANGO Gabriel 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
179 D'AMELJ Edoardo 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
179 YANG Justin 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
179 LIU Jayden 100% 93% 69% 35% 10% 1% -
179 YANG yanbo 100% 98% 64% 15% 2% - -
183 LEE Ezra 100% 60% 15% 2% - -
184 DE HOSSON Finn 100% 43% 9% 1% - - -
185 XUE Conghuan 100% 97% 70% 28% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.