Treasure Chest RYC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Sunday, January 14, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Treasure Island YMCA - San Francisco, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JAO Aaron 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 30%
2 WONG Aaron 100% 98% 86% 59% 27% 7% 1%
3 TANG Michael 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32%
3 HUANG Terrence 100% 99% 83% 47% 15% 2% -
5 REICHMANN Theo 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
6 NGUYEN Ethan 100% 99% 87% 57% 24% 5% -
7 MANA Sameer 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
8 WONG Vansen 100% 97% 83% 54% 23% 5% -
9 GACIOCH Noah 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 28%
10 JAMES Kaden 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
11 GORDON David 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 3%
12 SU Samuel 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
13 SCHIPPER Johann 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
14 LIU Max 100% 98% 86% 52% 16% 1%
15 SRIKANTH Hariharan 100% 99% 93% 70% 36% 10% 1%
16 NARAYANUN Advay 100% 89% 55% 21% 4% - -
17 ZHU Owen 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 2%
18 YU Brandon 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 1%
19 TUBALTSEV Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
20 BALUCAN Gabriel 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
21 LIU Xuyao 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 28% 6%
22 WANG Kyle 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
23 GUO Luke 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
24 KHUSHRAJ Rohan 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
25 HIGGINS Karl 100% 98% 87% 59% 27% 7% 1%
26 ZHANG Luqi 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
27 YU Haoyun 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 4% -
28 CHIN NAKAZONO Justin 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 14% 2%
29 BALUCAN Caelus 100% 99% 93% 69% 27% 1%
30 SONG Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
31 HUA Nolan 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
32 KROTZ Nicolas 100% 81% 44% 14% 3% - -
33 PANUGANTI Neal 100% 94% 69% 33% 8% 1%
34 LIN Daniel 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
35 XIE HanZhang (Elon) 100% 98% 84% 51% 19% 3% -
36 DESHPANDE Arihant 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% - -
37 LUO Alvin Y. 100% 97% 81% 44% 13% 2% -
37 LIU Daniel 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 3% -
39 DIESSNER Henry 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
40 QUAN Leo 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 18% 2%
41 KLINKNER Charlie 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
42 YU Alex 100% 51% 14% 2% - - -
43 LI Grayson 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
44 BOROVIKOV Alexander 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
45 LI NATHAN 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -
46 YE Andrew 100% 67% 25% 5% - -
47 ZHANG William 100% 75% 36% 10% 2% - -
48 OR Anson 100% 100% 92% 58% 17% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.