The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-10 Women's Saber

Sunday, January 14, 2024 at 10:30 AM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NEMORIN Rei - - 1% 7% 35% 57%
2 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai - - 2% 9% 27% 40% 23%
3 POWERS Waverly - 3% 17% 35% 33% 12%
3 WEI Levana 1% 12% 32% 35% 17% 3%
5 LONG Chloe - - 1% 4% 18% 41% 36%
6 ESTEVES ZOE - 5% 22% 37% 28% 8%
7 BAO Amelia 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1%
8 LEE Elise - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
9 ZHANG Shihan - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
10 RUSMEVICHIENTONG Lyla 1% 6% 23% 40% 28% 4%
11 YAP Anna 1% 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
12 MALUKI Nia 1% 8% 27% 39% 22% 4%
13 CONG Catherine - 5% 21% 36% 29% 8%
13 CHACKO Anne 13% 34% 33% 15% 3% -
15 YANG Felicia 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2%
16 DANIELS Jordanna - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
17 ZHANG Nikki - 2% 12% 30% 38% 18%
18 KANIA Brigitte 1% 9% 30% 38% 19% 3%
19 MENON Maya 1% 5% 20% 36% 29% 8%
20 CHEN Chloe - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 3%
21 VUDTHITHAMRONG Vivienne 2% 13% 33% 34% 16% 3%
22 GU Allison 2% 16% 41% 33% 8% 1%
23 LIANG Katherine 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5%
24 KABILING Anika Von Marie - 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
25 ZHANG Annalyn 5% 23% 37% 27% 8% -
26 SHRESTHA Arya 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
26 SON Ellie 57% 34% 8% 1% - -
28 KARAVAS Lucy 2% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
29 WILLER Anna 1% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
30 MACHIRAJU Ishita 2% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
31 JOSEPH Azalée - 5% 23% 38% 27% 7%
32 TABANCAY Ava 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
33 VARAH Alaia 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 3%
34 LUC Christabel 16% 39% 32% 11% 2% -
35 MAZZURCO Marin 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5% -
36 TSIPORUKHA Arie 3% 22% 38% 27% 9% 1%
37 KETT alexis 1% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
38 LIU Anya 41% 41% 16% 3% - -
39 LEE Katherine - 1% 9% 28% 40% 22%
40 ZIMBRICK-ROGERS Louisa F. 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
41 NARRELL Olive 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% -
42 FREY Elise 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% -
43 CHANG Kelly 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
44 YI Victoria - 3% 17% 35% 33% 11%
45 ARGUELLO Camilla 3% 17% 35% 32% 13% 2%
46 LAMTAN Trinity - 3% 15% 35% 35% 13%
46 LI Gloria 16% 39% 33% 11% 2% -
48 PETACCHI Lorena - 20% 41% 29% 8% 1%
49 CLAIANU Alexandra 63% 31% 5% - - -
50 GAO Anita 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
51 RAZIANO Collins 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
52 CAO Amanda 1% 11% 34% 38% 16% -
53 LEE Sophia 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
54 PARRA Luciana 1% 15% 38% 32% 12% 2%
55 MEYERSTEIN Vivian 6% 28% 41% 20% 4% -
56 DY Azurie 10% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.