Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Cadet Men's Saber

Sunday, January 14, 2024 at 2:30 PM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KIM ELIJAH - - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
2 ANTHONY Devyn V. - - - 1% 9% 36% 55%
3 HOTHA Nikhil - - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
3 LEE Brady 1% 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
5 ZHAO Lucas - - 3% 17% 41% 38%
6 GONZALEZ Jake - 1% 7% 23% 38% 27% 5%
7 NGO Maximus - 1% 6% 19% 34% 30% 10%
8 KIM Kendrick - - 3% 13% 32% 38% 15%
9 SU Landon - - - - 4% 28% 68%
9 DENBROEDER Ronald (Mackie) - - - - 5% 30% 65%
11 HUANG Alex F. - - - - 4% 27% 69%
12 ZHANG Yupeng - - 1% 8% 25% 41% 25%
13 LIN Philip T. - - 3% 12% 29% 37% 19%
14 PEREIRA Beckham 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 10% 1%
15 NOTOPRADONO Nicholas - 1% 9% 28% 42% 20%
16 ANAND Rishab - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
17 GUREVICH Benjamin - 1% 8% 27% 42% 22%
18 ZHOU James Y. - - 1% 9% 28% 41% 22%
19 DECK Tyson - - - 3% 18% 46% 33%
20 LIN Felix 1% 5% 18% 31% 30% 14% 2%
21 HU Christopher - - - 1% 6% 31% 62%
22 WANG Justin - - - 3% 19% 43% 35%
23 SO Preston - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
24 LUC Cedric 18% 39% 31% 11% 2% -
25 LAUB William - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 8%
26 WANG Weiyun - 4% 18% 34% 31% 12% 1%
27 OH Aster - 2% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6%
27 BIVIJI Ali - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
29 GUREVICH Savely - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
30 ANAND Rohan - - 1% 5% 20% 42% 33%
31 PAVLENISHVILI Luke 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
32 XU Ivan 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
33 YAN William - - 1% 7% 24% 42% 26%
34 LEE Andrew - - - 4% 21% 47% 28%
35 JENSBY Jason - 1% 7% 28% 40% 21% 3%
36 WONG Max 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
37 JONES Elijah - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 3%
38 AO Christopher 3% 15% 30% 31% 17% 4% -
39 SZULIM Lucjan 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
40 MEHAN Nicholas - - - 1% 8% 34% 56%
41 SUN Ziyao - - 3% 17% 35% 33% 11%
42 SALDARINI Glenn - 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3%
43 ONG Dylan 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6% 1%
44 PINTO Marcus - - 1% 10% 30% 40% 19%
45 BALU Aedan - 1% 7% 26% 41% 22% 3%
46 NOVOSYOLOK Zachary 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4%
47 DOMINIQUE Remson - - 3% 16% 38% 35% 7%
48 WANG Michael - 1% 9% 28% 37% 20% 4%
49 YANG Phillip - 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 5%
50 SHAH Sajan - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
51 HUNG Samuel - 5% 21% 37% 28% 8%
52 FANG Eason 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
53 WONG Caleb W. 6% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1%
54 FELDMAN Drew - - 1% 7% 23% 40% 29%
55 DE SIENA Salvatore - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 2%
56 REHM Liam 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
57 SASSI Ilyas 1% 6% 20% 32% 27% 11% 2%
58 ZHANG Kaixuan 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
59 TIAGI George - 1% 7% 23% 39% 27% 3%
60 ZHAO Lucas 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
61 PRIEUR Christian F. 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
62 LIEBOWITZ Carson 1% 12% 36% 35% 14% 2% -
63 MOYD Aaron - 5% 21% 35% 28% 9% 1%
64 DEELY Hartigan 2% 12% 28% 32% 20% 6% 1%
65 LIU Victor - 2% 12% 32% 35% 17% 3%
66 VAID Luke - - - 1% 10% 39% 50%
67 CHAKRAVORTY Sohan 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
68 CLARK Gabriel - 1% 5% 18% 35% 32% 9%
69 LICHTERMAN Jakub 1% 10% 27% 34% 22% 6% 1%
70 CHEN Jonathan - - - 4% 17% 41% 38%
71 CHEN Samuel - 3% 15% 34% 34% 13%
72 GONG zihao - - 4% 19% 38% 31% 9%
73 YANG Si He 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
74 YOOK Isaac - 1% 6% 25% 40% 24% 4%
75 KITSON Chase - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
76 KIM Yusung 8% 30% 37% 20% 4% - -
77 MANESCU Miron - 4% 22% 40% 26% 7% -
78 CLARK Aram - - 2% 13% 35% 38% 12%
79 LUAN Mark - 1% 9% 29% 39% 19% 3%
80 SADHU Neiyam - 3% 14% 33% 34% 14% 1%
81 PARKILA Lukas - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
81 SLEP Solomon 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
83 FRUTH Evan 1% 9% 29% 39% 19% 3%
84 ZHOU William - 2% 13% 35% 35% 14% 2%
85 VUONG Kyle Ka-Him - - 3% 17% 40% 35% 6%
86 BAI Evan - 1% 8% 29% 39% 20% 3%
87 SEN Christian 1% 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1%
88 WEISS Toby 6% 28% 39% 22% 5% - -
89 HARDRICK Noah 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 6% -
90 PARCELL Colby 16% 35% 31% 14% 3% - -
91 SARWAHI Viraat - 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
92 KIARA Kinoti 3% 16% 32% 31% 14% 3% -
93 LIU Yijin 1% 14% 40% 32% 11% 1% -
94 KALOUDIS Sean 2% 17% 35% 31% 13% 2% -
95 NGO Emerson 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
96 HUCHWAJDA Alex - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
97 TSAO Oliver - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 10%
98 HERR Gabriele 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
99 LI Coby 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
100 JIANG Terence 3% 19% 38% 29% 9% 1% -
101 STRUCKER Rocco 3% 20% 37% 29% 10% 2% -
102 GORDON Samuel 2% 16% 34% 32% 14% 2% -
103 LIU Alexander 20% 45% 28% 7% 1% - -
104 ALAVE Kyle - 3% 16% 36% 34% 10%
105 BROENING-CHAI Jonas 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
106 BALE ATMAN - 2% 11% 27% 36% 21% 4%
107 COGLIANO Max 12% 38% 33% 13% 3% - -
108 CIEMINS Henry 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 5% -
109 GOMEZ Emilio 6% 26% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
109 ANTICO Lorenzo Sebastian 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
111 RINALDI Savio 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
112 MARGULIS Jared 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
113 URSU Marcel T. - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 22%
114 KUSANAGI Soshi 6% 26% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
115 BUCK Maximilian 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% - -
116 LI Huangziyue 6% 24% 35% 24% 9% 2% -
117 BREUER Daniel 10% 31% 36% 19% 4% -
118 BENSON Jacob 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4%
119 FENG Brendan 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% -
120 LAMTAN Christoffer 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
121 LOO Jason 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
122 LIU Aaron 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
123 CHAWLA Abhishek 14% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
124 HAUSLER Jayden 29% 45% 22% 4% - - -
125 YASAKCI Burhan 22% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
126 LIU Ryan 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
127 WANG Tim 27% 43% 24% 6% 1% - -
128 BARENBOYM Michael 24% 43% 26% 7% 1% -
129 KIM Samuel 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
130 YAO Zachary 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% - -
131 WANG tiger 4% 25% 38% 25% 8% 1% -
132 LIU ERIC 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1%
133 YANG Byron 9% 31% 38% 18% 4% -
134 JOSHI Raghav - 2% 15% 36% 33% 12% 1%
135 CRAWFORD William 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
136 ZHAO Royce - 2% 10% 31% 39% 16% 2%
137 FTAIHA Ezra 16% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
138 JI Johnson 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
139 TSAO Alister 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
140 LIU Ethan 26% 43% 24% 6% 1% -
141 OREN Daniel 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% -
142 LIU Daniel 7% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1% -
143 FIROOZI Sam 50% 38% 11% 1% - - -
144 GAO Kai 2% 15% 35% 34% 12% 2% -
145 PORTER Dupree 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
146 GONG Gavin 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
147 SUN Andrew - 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
148 WEST-BEY Ahmad 8% 31% 40% 17% 3% - -
149 WONG Mac 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1% -
150 ANSARI Umayr 15% 50% 29% 6% 1% - -
151 CHENG Sawyer 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 3% -
152 STORER Julian - 1% 9% 27% 39% 23% 2%
152 NADGIR Jaiden 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
154 HO Alex 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 5% -
155 VALENCIA Jose 2% 15% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
156 GRABOWSKI Stanley 22% 46% 25% 6% 1% - -
157 YAO Kellon（Yukun） 40% 41% 15% 3% - - -
158 CAREY Sam 19% 43% 30% 7% 1% - -
159 KUO Alden S. 19% 37% 29% 12% 2% - -
160 ROORDA Easton 68% 27% 4% - - - -
161 ZHANG Jason 46% 39% 13% 2% - - -
162 MICHALSKI Brandon 3% 33% 41% 19% 4% -
163 LEE Thomas 38% 45% 15% 2% - - -
164 YUEN Caleb 8% 26% 34% 22% 8% 1% -
164 HAIRABEDIAN Ellis 33% 45% 19% 3% - - -
166 RICHMAN Izak 21% 40% 29% 9% 1% - -
167 VARKI Simon 54% 37% 8% 1% - - -
168 SAYAR Luke 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
168 COBITZ Harrison 6% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
170 CHEN Mannis 28% 43% 24% 6% 1% - -
171 SUAREZ-ARANGO Gabriel 15% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.