Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Cadet Men's Saber

Sunday, January 14, 2024 at 2:30 PM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KIM ELIJAH 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
2 ANTHONY Devyn V. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
3 HOTHA Nikhil 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 78% 37%
3 LEE Brady 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
5 ZHAO Lucas 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
6 GONZALEZ Jake 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 5%
7 NGO Maximus 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 40% 10%
8 KIM Kendrick 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 15%
9 SU Landon 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 68%
9 DENBROEDER Ronald (Mackie) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
11 HUANG Alex F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
12 ZHANG Yupeng 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
13 LIN Philip T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 19%
14 PEREIRA Beckham 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 11% 1%
15 NOTOPRADONO Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 20%
16 ANAND Rishab 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 16% 2%
17 GUREVICH Benjamin 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
18 ZHOU James Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
19 DECK Tyson 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 33%
20 LIN Felix 100% 99% 94% 77% 45% 16% 2%
21 HU Christopher 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 62%
22 WANG Justin 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
23 SO Preston 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
24 LUC Cedric 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% -
25 LAUB William 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 8%
26 WANG Weiyun 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 1%
27 OH Aster 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 6%
27 BIVIJI Ali 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 27% 5%
29 GUREVICH Savely 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
30 ANAND Rohan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 33%
31 PAVLENISHVILI Luke 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% - -
32 XU Ivan 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
33 YAN William 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
34 LEE Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 28%
35 JENSBY Jason 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 24% 3%
36 WONG Max 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
37 JONES Elijah 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 3%
38 AO Christopher 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 5% -
39 SZULIM Lucjan 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
40 MEHAN Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
41 SUN Ziyao 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 11%
42 SALDARINI Glenn 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 20% 3%
43 ONG Dylan 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
44 PINTO Marcus 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
45 BALU Aedan 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25% 3%
46 NOVOSYOLOK Zachary 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 4%
47 DOMINIQUE Remson 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 7%
48 WANG Michael 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4%
49 YANG Phillip 100% 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 5%
50 SHAH Sajan 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
51 HUNG Samuel 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 8%
52 FANG Eason 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
53 WONG Caleb W. 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1%
54 FELDMAN Drew 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 29%
55 DE SIENA Salvatore 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 18% 2%
56 REHM Liam 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
57 SASSI Ilyas 100% 99% 93% 72% 40% 13% 2%
58 ZHANG Kaixuan 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 9% 1%
59 TIAGI George 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 31% 3%
60 ZHAO Lucas 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4% -
61 PRIEUR Christian F. 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
62 LIEBOWITZ Carson 100% 99% 87% 51% 16% 2% -
63 MOYD Aaron 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
64 DEELY Hartigan 100% 98% 86% 59% 26% 6% 1%
65 LIU Victor 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
66 VAID Luke 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
67 CHAKRAVORTY Sohan 100% 98% 84% 55% 24% 5% -
68 CLARK Gabriel 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 41% 9%
69 LICHTERMAN Jakub 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 7% 1%
70 CHEN Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
71 CHEN Samuel 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 13%
72 GONG zihao 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
73 YANG Si He 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
74 YOOK Isaac 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 28% 4%
75 KITSON Chase 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
76 KIM Yusung 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% - -
77 MANESCU Miron 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 7% -
78 CLARK Aram 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 12%
79 LUAN Mark 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 22% 3%
80 SADHU Neiyam 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 1%
81 PARKILA Lukas 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
81 SLEP Solomon 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 8% 1%
83 FRUTH Evan 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 3%
84 ZHOU William 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 2%
85 VUONG Kyle Ka-Him 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 40% 6%
86 BAI Evan 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 23% 3%
87 SEN Christian 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 10% 1%
88 WEISS Toby 100% 94% 66% 27% 5% - -
89 HARDRICK Noah 100% 99% 91% 63% 28% 6% -
90 PARCELL Colby 100% 84% 49% 18% 4% - -
91 SARWAHI Viraat 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 20% 3%
92 KIARA Kinoti 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
93 LIU Yijin 100% 99% 84% 44% 12% 1% -
94 KALOUDIS Sean 100% 98% 81% 46% 15% 2% -
95 NGO Emerson 100% 96% 77% 42% 14% 2% -
96 HUCHWAJDA Alex 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 21% 3%
97 TSAO Oliver 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10%
98 HERR Gabriele 100% 98% 87% 61% 28% 7% 1%
99 LI Coby 100% 97% 82% 51% 21% 4% -
100 JIANG Terence 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1% -
101 STRUCKER Rocco 100% 97% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
102 GORDON Samuel 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 2% -
103 LIU Alexander 100% 80% 36% 8% 1% - -
104 ALAVE Kyle 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 10%
105 BROENING-CHAI Jonas 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1%
106 BALE ATMAN 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 24% 4%
107 COGLIANO Max 100% 88% 50% 16% 3% - -
108 CIEMINS Henry 100% 99% 90% 60% 25% 5% -
109 GOMEZ Emilio 100% 94% 68% 29% 7% 1% -
109 ANTICO Lorenzo Sebastian 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
111 RINALDI Savio 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% - -
112 MARGULIS Jared 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 11% 1%
113 URSU Marcel T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 22%
114 KUSANAGI Soshi 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
115 BUCK Maximilian 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% - -
116 LI Huangziyue 100% 94% 69% 35% 10% 2% -
117 BREUER Daniel 100% 90% 60% 23% 4% -
118 BENSON Jacob 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 4%
119 FENG Brendan 100% 80% 39% 11% 1% -
120 LAMTAN Christoffer 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
121 LOO Jason 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 3% -
122 LIU Aaron 100% 99% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
123 CHAWLA Abhishek 100% 86% 48% 14% 2% - -
124 HAUSLER Jayden 100% 71% 26% 4% - - -
125 YASAKCI Burhan 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
126 LIU Ryan 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
127 WANG Tim 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% - -
128 BARENBOYM Michael 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% -
129 KIM Samuel 100% 94% 70% 36% 12% 2% -
130 YAO Zachary 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% - -
131 WANG tiger 100% 96% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
132 LIU ERIC 100% 93% 66% 29% 6% 1%
133 YANG Byron 100% 91% 60% 22% 4% -
134 JOSHI Raghav 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 13% 1%
135 CRAWFORD William 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
136 ZHAO Royce 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18% 2%
137 FTAIHA Ezra 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
138 JI Johnson 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
139 TSAO Alister 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
140 LIU Ethan 100% 74% 31% 6% 1% -
141 OREN Daniel 100% 76% 35% 8% 1% -
142 LIU Daniel 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
143 FIROOZI Sam 100% 50% 12% 2% - - -
144 GAO Kai 100% 98% 83% 48% 14% 2% -
145 PORTER Dupree 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 4% -
146 GONG Gavin 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 10% 1%
147 SUN Andrew 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
148 WEST-BEY Ahmad 100% 92% 61% 21% 4% - -
149 WONG Mac 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1% -
150 ANSARI Umayr 100% 85% 36% 7% 1% - -
151 CHENG Sawyer 100% 97% 80% 49% 18% 4% -
152 STORER Julian 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 25% 2%
152 NADGIR Jaiden 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% 1%
154 HO Alex 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
155 VALENCIA Jose 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
156 GRABOWSKI Stanley 100% 78% 32% 6% 1% - -
157 YAO Kellon(Yukun) 100% 60% 18% 3% - - -
158 CAREY Sam 100% 81% 38% 8% 1% - -
159 KUO Alden S. 100% 81% 44% 14% 3% - -
160 ROORDA Easton 100% 32% 5% - - - -
161 ZHANG Jason 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
162 MICHALSKI Brandon 100% 97% 64% 23% 4% -
163 LEE Thomas 100% 62% 17% 2% - - -
164 YUEN Caleb 100% 92% 66% 32% 9% 1% -
164 HAIRABEDIAN Ellis 100% 67% 23% 3% - - -
166 RICHMAN Izak 100% 79% 39% 10% 1% - -
167 VARKI Simon 100% 46% 9% 1% - - -
168 SAYAR Luke 100% 77% 37% 10% 2% - -
168 COBITZ Harrison 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
170 CHEN Mannis 100% 72% 30% 6% 1% - -
171 SUAREZ-ARANGO Gabriel 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.