The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

2024 South Coast Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJC

Junior Men's Foil

Monday, January 15, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Pasadena Convention Center - Main Ballroom - Pasadena, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LING Eddie - - 2% 14% 43% 42%
2 LE Jacob H. - 4% 19% 34% 30% 12% 2%
3 LEUNG Chu Ming Aiden - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
3 NGUYEN Martin - - - 5% 24% 47% 24%
5 LIN Youlong - - - 2% 15% 45% 37%
6 MA Andrew - - - 2% 16% 50% 32%
7 LIN Xilong - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
8 ZHANG Jacob - 6% 28% 42% 21% 3%
9 DERRICK Blake - - 1% 10% 35% 40% 14%
10 PARK Sky - - 6% 26% 44% 24%
11 NAVARRO Kato 1% 12% 38% 36% 12% 1%
12 MORROW Brenden - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
13 PINCHENG Yao - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
14 BERMAN Michael - - 1% 10% 33% 40% 16%
15 GOBBO Alexander - 1% 9% 33% 43% 15%
16 LI Richard 1% 8% 30% 39% 20% 3%
17 LLIDO Soren - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 10%
18 DINSAY Kristjan - - - 4% 18% 41% 36%
19 NGUYEN Liam - - 1% 8% 32% 42% 18%
20 OROPEZA David - 1% 8% 29% 41% 18% 2%
21 PARK Rion - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
22 MARTIN IV Elmer D. - - - 1% 13% 47% 39%
23 CHANG Nathan - 5% 43% 40% 12% 1% -
24 KETTELLE John - 1% 6% 21% 37% 29% 7%
25 KIM Daniel Y. - 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 6%
26 PARK Steve (Sangmin) - 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
27 YI William - 3% 17% 37% 33% 10%
28 PONS Diego - 1% 8% 29% 42% 20%
29 CHOI Ethan - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
30 CHOI Ethan 1% 12% 31% 34% 18% 4% -
31 BARTSCH Henry 4% 25% 40% 25% 6% - -
32 WONG Evan - - 9% 36% 41% 12% 1%
33 LIU William 1% 11% 33% 36% 17% 3%
34 ZHOU Ryan 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
35 AGRAWAL Niki - 1% 17% 45% 31% 6% -
36 BAE Eugene - 6% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
37 FLANAGAN Miles 13% 40% 33% 12% 2% - -
38 TUAN Evan - 7% 30% 40% 20% 3%
39 LING Carson Jr 3% 17% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
41 SCHIENEMAN Valentine - 1% 10% 38% 37% 13% 2%
42 ZHONG Maxwell - 5% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1%
43 SMITH Jeremiah 61% 32% 6% 1% - -
44 ZHANG Aaron - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
45 LI Jett - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
46 KUNTSEVICH Ivan I. 3% 17% 35% 30% 13% 3% -
47 CHAN Joseph 4% 26% 40% 24% 5% - -
48 ORNELAS Matteo 4% 23% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
49 MA Bryant - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 11%
50 BORG Matthew 1% 12% 34% 37% 14% 2% -
51 TSOI Spencer 1% 15% 53% 26% 5% - -
52 BAKER Ethan 10% 34% 35% 16% 4% - -
53 DENG David 26% 45% 23% 5% - -
54 ATTIA Aly 1% 8% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
55 YUAN Jonathan 22% 66% 11% 1% - - -
56 PE Noah 33% 42% 20% 4% - - -
57 ZHAN Kevin 27% 49% 20% 3% - -
58 KUO Jayden 45% 41% 12% 2% - - -
59 YORK Lucas 6% 29% 38% 21% 5% 1% -
60 LEE Christopher 23% 59% 17% 1% - - -
61 ROSE Jacob W. 55% 35% 9% 1% - - -
62 TSAO Holden 26% 44% 24% 6% 1% -
63 MONTGOMERY Georgie 39% 46% 14% 2% - -
63 TURNER Finian 55% 36% 8% 1% - - -
65 PEREZ Carlos Josemaria 7% 57% 30% 5% - -
66 WANG Matthew 62% 35% 3% - - - -
67 PERALTA RODRIGUEZ Niko 40% 41% 16% 3% - - -
68 DROPKIN Mason 71% 28% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.