2024 South Coast Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Monday, January 15, 2024 at 2:30 PM

Pasadena Convention Center - Main Ballroom - Pasadena, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WANG Devin 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 22%
2 DENG haoyu 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
3 RONG Marcus 100% 100% 95% 80% 50% 20% 3%
3 XUE Michael 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
5 RONG Gordon 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 5%
6 FU Nolan 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 12%
7 ENG Kyler 100% 100% 99% 90% 67% 32% 7%
8 WHITE Ryden 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
9 GREENMAN Duke 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 23% 3%
10 HARRIS Hayden 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
11 BERTEL Florian 100% 98% 86% 59% 27% 7% 1%
12 KIM Evan 100% 99% 88% 52% 16% 2%
13 VOO Lucas 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1%
14 TOUSSAINT Wizard 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
15 WU Nathan 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 34% 8%
16 SAMIMI Sina 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 3% -
17 CHEN Aiden 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 8%
18 DAI Steven (Chengwen) 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 8%
19 CHAN JR Jason 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
20 WANG Lucas 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
21 NGUYEN Ethan 100% 91% 60% 23% 5% -
22 LIU Aiden 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2%
23 SHOURIE Neel 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
24 DU Evan 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
25 SCHWARTZMAN Ethan 100% 100% 93% 64% 24% 3%
26 MA Ciel 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
27 JIANG William 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
28 AZAMOV Samir 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 21% 4%
29 SHOURIE Seth 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2%
30 KOU Mason 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 21% 3%
31 SHIH Derek 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
32 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 100% 92% 50% 13% 2% -
33 LEE Lucas 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
34 SHI jingxuan 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
35 PARKE Nathaniel 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 8%
36 ZHAO Luke 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% -
37 AULAKH Eshaan 100% 95% 75% 42% 15% 3% -
38 BAI Hang Qi 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
39 TIAN Dylan 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
40 LIU Yihong 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% -
41 LEE Davidson 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% -
42 DENG Destin 100% 84% 46% 15% 2% -
43 THOMPSON Luca 100% 94% 67% 29% 7% 1%
44 LI Stephen 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 16% 2%
45 JIANG Jack 100% 85% 51% 19% 4% 1% -
46 SANDIRI Shanmukh Rishith 100% 76% 35% 8% 1% -
47 GUO Jonathan 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3%
48 WANG Ryan 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1%
49 YOON Ian 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% - -
49 KHOUDAGOULIAN Grigor 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 6% 1%
51 ZHU Arthur 100% 34% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.