Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Cadet Men's Foil

Monday, January 15, 2024 at 12:30 PM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KLOTZ Isaiah 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
2 QIAN Jason H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80%
3 TIKHAEV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 53%
3 HUANG Eythan 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
5 TANG August L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 30%
6 PARRISH Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 27%
7 JIANG Bowang 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
8 LU Nathan 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 4%
9 CHEN Kyle P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
10 ELKOUSY Zain al Din 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 35% 6%
11 GHEDINI Luca 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 33%
12 LEE Eugene 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 18%
13 YAP Nathan 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 17%
14 GERRISH William 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 29% 2%
15 CHENG Logan 100% 100% 95% 72% 30% 5%
16 MAO Lucas 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 18%
17 VADEN Oliver 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
18 TANG Alexander L. 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
19 ZHAO Adam 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 37%
20 TANG Albert 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 62%
21 RODRIGUEZ Tyler 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
22 BORKOWSKI Olgierd 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 16%
23 ZENG Rick 100% 100% 98% 79% 38% 8%
24 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 12%
25 GUTH Joseph 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 19%
26 ARCE Andrew W. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45% 9%
27 SIMONOV Timofey 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 9%
28 WONG Jackson 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 23%
29 XU Andy P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
29 CHUANG Oscar 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
31 ROZALSKI Eli 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
32 CHO Xzander 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 27% 2%
33 LI Edison M. 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
34 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69% 19%
35 TJON Calum 100% 99% 90% 64% 31% 8% 1%
36 MARTIN Darius 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 6%
37 CHONG Tristan 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1%
38 KAPOOR Aayan 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 15%
39 HE Kyle 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 31% 5%
40 XIE Jicheng 100% 98% 82% 41% 9% 1%
41 SHENG Dalton 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 25%
42 BLEIL Tyler 100% 100% 95% 71% 34% 8% -
42 SMOLICH Marat 100% 100% 100% 98% 78% 30% 3%
44 MASTROPAOLO Jonah W. 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 11% 1%
45 HUA Aaron 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 10% 1%
46 CHEN Ethan 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8%
47 ZHENG Marcus 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 7% -
48 SUAREZ Adrian 100% 100% 100% 92% 63% 20%
48 BAI Brian 100% 100% 96% 69% 27% 4%
50 XU Dinghui Ryan 100% 96% 68% 26% 4% -
51 LI Allen 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 2%
52 YU William 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 11% 1%
53 SENANI Arjun 100% 100% 96% 74% 29% 5% -
54 BAI Austin 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11% 1%
55 MO Ethan 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
56 HAN Alexander 100% 99% 86% 57% 24% 6% 1%
57 FENG Michael 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 14%
58 ONIK Ari N. 100% 85% 49% 15% 2% -
59 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
60 ABRAMKIN Tim 100% 90% 53% 13% 1% - -
61 FRASER Rhys 100% 92% 54% 16% 2% - -
62 BAKSHI Aman 100% 99% 92% 64% 25% 5% -
63 KENNEDY christo 100% 99% 90% 64% 31% 8% 1%
64 PRUT Anton 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
65 LEVY Jacob 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55% 14%
66 SICAT Justin 100% 99% 89% 56% 18% 2% -
67 MANDZY Theodor 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 33% 6%
68 GRIEB Oliver 100% 99% 91% 59% 18% 2%
69 PAN Ethan 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
70 KRZYWON Dylan 100% 82% 40% 10% 1% - -
71 SHIN Noah 100% 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% -
72 ZAIDI Adil 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 11% 1%
73 WONG Jacob W. 100% 99% 88% 54% 16% 2% -
74 CHUN Zachary 100% 84% 37% 6% - - -
75 CAO Justin 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
76 KOE Beckett 100% 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% -
77 JIMENEZ Naveen 100% 100% 99% 89% 63% 27% 5%
78 BOURGUIGNAT James 100% 96% 67% 28% 7% 1% -
79 LU Jingyi 100% 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
80 ZAPPALA Nikolai 100% 99% 84% 47% 13% 1% -
81 STRAYER Cody 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
82 HUANG Chenghan 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
83 HEYBOER Jason 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
84 MACKAY Ian 100% 96% 67% 21% 2% - -
84 LEE Ethan 100% 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1%
84 METZ Mason 100% 78% 39% 12% 2% - -
87 HE Ryan 100% 97% 78% 39% 10% 1% -
88 XU Joseph 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
89 ZHANG Jason 100% 78% 33% 6% - - -
90 REN Ryan 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
91 KNIBBE Nathan 100% 95% 62% 21% 3% -
92 BOWLES Kevin 100% 75% 29% 5% - -
93 BUNDUS Luca 100% 18% 1% - - -
94 TOOMRE Kai 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 9% 1%
95 BLAM Aaron 100% 100% 96% 70% 23% 3% -
96 TEH Tang-Ngu 100% 93% 62% 19% 2% - -
97 CHA James 100% 46% 8% 1% - - -
98 SHAW Spencer 100% 97% 68% 28% 6% 1% -
99 DHOKTE Neev 100% 98% 82% 43% 10% 1% -
100 ZOU Michael 100% 95% 62% 23% 4% - -
101 SUN Henry 100% 92% 64% 26% 5% -
101 LIU Robert 100% 91% 28% 4% - -
103 TIAGI George 100% 97% 51% 8% - - -
104 COSSROW Alex 100% 66% 20% 3% - -
105 OEHLER Mac 100% 20% 1% - - - -
106 OLSON Evan 100% 33% 4% - - - -
107 BONTHA Aadit 100% 39% 6% - - -
108 CHANG Xavier 100% 39% 6% - - - -
109 STANSBURY Desmond 100% 68% 21% 2% - - -
109 DIAZ Gabriel 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% - -
111 ALLEN Augustus 100% 49% 9% - - - -
111 CHANG Zane 100% 29% 3% - - - -
113 SEDGLEY Samuel 100% 55% 16% 2% - - -
113 NAUGHTON Aidan 100% 67% 22% 3% - - -
115 CHUN Alexander 100% 6% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.