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Fairfax Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC & Y8

Y-14 Men's Épée

Friday, January 19, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 PENG Yue - 2% 12% 37% 40% 9%
2 WILKERSON Tobias 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1%
3 LEE DoWon - 1% 8% 27% 42% 22%
3 KE Sebastian - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
5 SINGH Ravin - - - 6% 33% 60%
6 HEADRICK Jack - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
7 BENNETT Pierce 8% 30% 38% 20% 4% -
8 KROPP Wesley 1% 10% 29% 37% 19% 3%
9 LEE Anton - 1% 14% 50% 33% 2%
10 YU Jason - - 4% 28% 68%
11 SUN Ethan - 1% 7% 33% 43% 16%
12 KONG Brandon 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4%
13 ADDYSON Aidan 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% -
14 DOAN Christopher 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 7%
15 WANG Marcus 1% 10% 33% 39% 16% 2%
16 STRAFFORD Andrew 20% 41% 30% 9% 1% -
17 NOLAN Tyler 10% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
18 KONG Ethan 3% 19% 41% 32% 5%
19 MCCABE Kian 16% 41% 33% 9% 1% -
20 GATEWOOD Michael 9% 34% 40% 16% 1%
21 SZIEDE Kieran 1% 9% 27% 37% 21% 4%
22 BANG Dylan 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
23 CHO Alex - 1% 9% 29% 40% 21%
24 FONG Henry 18% 39% 31% 11% 2% -
25 MIKHAIL Lucas 1% 5% 19% 34% 31% 11%
26 FENG Xinmin 16% 41% 33% 9% 1%
27 DURAN Sevan Sebastian 11% 35% 37% 15% 2% -
28 HEADRICK Liam 9% 38% 38% 14% 2% -
29 SUNKARA Vishnu 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% -
30 QU RuiTing 3% 20% 41% 29% 7% -
31 CHANEY Charles 5% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2%
32 BIERL Asa 23% 44% 27% 6% -
33 MILLER Balthazar 52% 38% 10% 1% - -
34 WU Jiachen 30% 42% 22% 6% 1% -
35 POWELL Horatio < 1% 1% 7% 26% 42% 25%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.