Fairfax Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC & Y8

Y-14 Men's Épée

Friday, January 19, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 PENG Yue 100% 100% 98% 86% 49% 9%
2 WILKERSON Tobias 100% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1%
3 LEE DoWon 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
3 KE Sebastian 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
5 SINGH Ravin 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 60%
6 HEADRICK Jack 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 21%
7 BENNETT Pierce 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
8 KROPP Wesley 100% 99% 89% 60% 22% 3%
9 LEE Anton 100% 100% 98% 84% 34% 2%
10 YU Jason 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
11 SUN Ethan 100% 100% 99% 92% 59% 16%
12 KONG Brandon 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4%
13 ADDYSON Aidan 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% -
14 DOAN Christopher 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 7%
15 WANG Marcus 100% 99% 89% 57% 17% 2%
16 STRAFFORD Andrew 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% -
17 NOLAN Tyler 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% -
18 KONG Ethan 100% 97% 78% 37% 5%
19 MCCABE Kian 100% 84% 43% 10% 1% -
20 GATEWOOD Michael 100% 91% 57% 17% 1%
21 SZIEDE Kieran 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
22 BANG Dylan 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
23 CHO Alex 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21%
24 FONG Henry 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% -
25 MIKHAIL Lucas 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
26 FENG Xinmin 100% 84% 43% 10% 1%
27 DURAN Sevan Sebastian 100% 89% 54% 17% 2% -
28 HEADRICK Liam 100% 91% 53% 16% 2% -
29 SUNKARA Vishnu 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% -
30 QU RuiTing 100% 97% 77% 36% 7% -
31 CHANEY Charles 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
32 BIERL Asa 100% 77% 33% 6% -
33 MILLER Balthazar 100% 48% 10% 1% - -
34 WU Jiachen 100% 70% 29% 6% 1% -
35 POWELL Horatio 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.