Fairfax Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC & Y8

Div II Women's Foil

Friday, January 19, 2024 at 11:30 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HAFEZ Tahiyah 100% 100% 96% 75% 37% 8%
2 SHMUKLER Maria 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 9%
3 VAUGHAN Norah 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 43%
3 OLSEN Jen 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
5 MARISI Gianna 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 18%
6 MARTIRE Alessandra 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 2%
7 OWENS Elise 100% 100% 99% 87% 50% 11%
8 LENZ Zoe N. 100% 100% 92% 62% 24% 4%
9 BASILE Gianna 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 5%
10 SHAH Suhani 100% 100% 94% 64% 23% 3%
11 WU Lorena 100% 100% 92% 60% 19% 2%
12 LIN Ju-An Adrianne 100% 100% 96% 75% 37% 8%
13 ZHANG Tingyun (Linda) 100% 90% 53% 17% 3% - -
14 TOMASI Samantha 100% 95% 48% 11% 1% -
15 SELSER Ella 100% 97% 79% 41% 12% 2% -
16 ZHANG Vicky 100% 52% 12% 1% - - -
17 CROWE Talia 100% 100% 76% 35% 8% 1%
18 LENZ Phoebe 100% 15% 1% - - -
19 HERNANDEZ Josephine 100% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.