The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Take Action

Fairfax Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC & Y8

Y-14 Men's Foil

Saturday, January 20, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 VADEN Oliver - - - 5% 32% 62%
2 TANG Alexander L. - - - 1% 23% 76%
3 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
3 YU William - - 4% 27% 53% 15%
5 PAN Ethan - 1% 11% 37% 39% 12%
6 DOELL Ethan - - - 5% 34% 61%
7 SHIN Noah - 1% 10% 35% 40% 14%
8 HUYNH Matthew - - 4% 25% 58% 12%
9 MARISI Gabriel - - 5% 36% 47% 12%
10 HUA Aaron - - 5% 32% 45% 18%
11 SHAW Spencer 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
12 ZHANG GAVIN J - - 4% 22% 44% 29%
13 GRACEY Gavin 4% 21% 39% 29% 7% -
14 TARCHICHI Robby - 2% 12% 35% 41% 9%
15 PARK Jubin 44% 40% 14% 2% - -
16 NOLAN Tyler 1% 18% 48% 27% 5% -
17 MISHRA Kartikaye 12% 37% 36% 13% 1% -
17 BREBBIA Matteo - 1% 7% 27% 43% 22%
19 MARTIRE Luca 1% 7% 31% 44% 16% 1%
20 JIANG Bohan 2% 17% 36% 32% 11% 1%
21 LIU Robert 5% 25% 40% 25% 5% -
22 TSENG Lucas 9% 35% 39% 14% 2% -
23 CHOW Kingsley 16% 42% 33% 9% - -
24 XIANG Wangzhi 28% 43% 23% 5% - -
25 LIU Alex 1% 7% 25% 39% 25% 4%
26 TOSCANO Sebastian 22% 44% 28% 6% - -
27 KIM Ethan 31% 46% 21% 3% - -
28 ST CLAIR Lauriston 22% 43% 28% 6% 1% -
29 KRETZER Joseph 10% 34% 39% 15% 2% -
30 PARMAR Veer 16% 43% 32% 8% - -
31 PHILLIPS Oliver 9% 32% 38% 18% 3% -
32 PASCHAL Richard Allen 3% 19% 38% 30% 10% 1%
33 STANSBURY Desmond 10% 52% 32% 6% - -
34 REYNOLDS CHANG Luke 75% 24% 2% - - -
35 HAN Nathan 2% 14% 38% 38% 8% -
36 KARLEKAR Ved 24% 46% 25% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.