Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | VADEN Oliver | V V V V V | V V V V V | 4.6 | 5 | +0.4 |
| 2 | TANG Alexander L. | V V V V V | V V V V D | 4.8 | 5 | +0.2 |
| 3 | GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas | V V V V V | V V V D | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| 3 | YU William | V V V V V | V V V D | 3.8 | 5 | +1.2 |
| 5 | PAN Ethan | V V V V V | V V D | 3.5 | 5 | +1.5 |
| 6 | DOELL Ethan | V V V D V | V V D | 4.6 | 4 | -0.6 |
| 7 | SHIN Noah | V V V V D | V D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 8 | HUYNH Matthew | V V V D V | V V D | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 9 | MARISI Gabriel | V V V V V | V D | 3.7 | 5 | +1.3 |
| 10 | HUA Aaron | V V V V D | V | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 11 | SHAW Spencer | D V V V V | V D | 2.3 | 4 | +1.7 |
| 12 | ZHANG GAVIN J | D V V D V | V D | 4.0 | 3 | -1.0 |
| 13 | GRACEY Gavin | D V D V V | V D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 14 | TARCHICHI Robby | V D V V D | V D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 15 | PARK Jubin | V V V D D | V D | 0.8 | 3 | +2.2 |
| 16 | NOLAN Tyler | D V D V D | V D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 17 | MISHRA Kartikaye | V V D V D | D | 1.5 | 3 | +1.5 |
| 17 | BREBBIA Matteo | V D V D V | D | 3.8 | 3 | -0.8 |
| 19 | MARTIRE Luca | V V D V D | D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 20 | JIANG Bohan | V D D V D | D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 21 | LIU Robert | V D D D V | D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 22 | TSENG Lucas | V D D D V | D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 23 | CHOW Kingsley | D D V V D | D | 1.4 | 2 | +0.6 |
| 24 | XIANG Wangzhi | D V V D D | D | 1.1 | 2 | +0.9 |
| 25 | LIU Alex | D D D D V | D | 2.9 | 1 | -1.9 |
| 26 | TOSCANO Sebastian | D D D D V | D | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| 27 | KIM Ethan | D D D D V | D | 1.0 | 1 | - |
| 28 | ST CLAIR Lauriston | D D D V D | D | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| 29 | KRETZER Joseph | D D D V D | V D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 30 | PARMAR Veer | D D V D D | V D | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| 31 | PHILLIPS Oliver | D D D D D | V D | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| 32 | PASCHAL Richard Allen | D D D D D | V D | 2.3 | 0 | -2.3 |
| 33 | STANSBURY Desmond | D D D D V | D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 34 | REYNOLDS CHANG Luke | D D D D D | D | 0.3 | 0 | -0.3 |
| 35 | HAN Nathan | D D D D D | D | 2.4 | 0 | -2.4 |
| 36 | KARLEKAR Ved | D D D D D | D | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.