Fairfax Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC & Y8

Y-14 Women's Épée

Saturday, January 20, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NIX Reagan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88%
2 YAO Chloe 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 10%
3 MARTINEZ Christina 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
3 WEI Sherry 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 17%
5 RICHARDS Axelle 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25% 3%
6 LEE Kate 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 17% 1%
7 JEYOON Lauren 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
8 PILSON Rebecca 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 23%
9 KROPP Anne 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
10 GEFFNER Olivia 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15% 1%
11 HALL Isabelle 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 12% 1%
12 LY Hannah 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 38% 7%
13 BURT Emmalyne Grace 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
14 LEVKOV Maita 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
15 WORKNEH Lulit 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
16 OLELE Ifechi 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
17 STEEL Jane 100% 98% 86% 52% 18% 2%
18 BERGAN Bailey 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
19 MEMON Insha 100% 81% 41% 11% 2% - -
20 WRIGHT Madison 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 35% 8%
21 LI Xier 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
22 MADDOX Elle 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
23 CAO Carolyn 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% 1%
24 GALINSKY Lana 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - -
25 YAO Sophia 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 1% -
26 ERBER Liberty 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
27 IYENGAR Sthuthi 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2% -
28 HOWARD Brielle 100% 73% 30% 7% 1% -
29 AZAD Ava 100% 99% 94% 72% 38% 11% 1%
30 LAMBA Sayona 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
31 SILVA Hailey 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% - -
32 NAPOLI Eleanor 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% - -
33 PRAVEEN Nehara 100% 80% 36% 8% 1% -
34 GILDEHAUS Mathilda 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.