Fairfax Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC & Y8

Div I-A Women's Épée

Saturday, January 20, 2024 at 11:30 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZANGA Kaitlyn 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 16% 2%
2 WITTER Catherine A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8%
3 LU Samantha R. 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 3%
3 LIANG Jingjing 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 17% 1%
5 DESAI Meera P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 64% 21%
6 POLANICHKA Nicole 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
7 ZHU Serene M. 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 27% 4%
8 GUJJA Misha 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 10%
9 PINNAMANENI Drithi 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 26% 4%
10 FURMAN Maria 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 20% 3%
11 PROKOP Jeannine A. 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 4%
12 DAVIS Jessica L. 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
13 ASHER Valerie 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
14 YOU Emily 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 8%
15 YANG Alisa 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 27%
16 QIU Emily 100% 99% 89% 56% 20% 4% -
17 FOELLMER Kristin 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 64%
18 ZOU You yang (Yoyo) 100% 94% 69% 30% 7% 1% -
19 GORDET Cristina G. 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 13% 1%
20 ILYAS Ayah 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2% -
21 CHI Chelsea 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 7%
22 ZOLDAK Mary 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 3%
23 PEELER Julia 100% 100% 99% 87% 50% 14% 1%
24 NOH Rachel 100% 87% 49% 13% 2% - -
25 DUNSEATH Lauren M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 9%
26 DONGES Anna 100% 100% 96% 66% 26% 5% -
27 BARDIN Kira 100% 87% 49% 14% 2% - -
28 MUELLER Polo 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 6%
29 MAGALSKI Mary 100% 97% 75% 29% 5% - -
30 RHEINECKER Claire 100% 52% 13% 2% - -
31 KRISHNA Rithika 100% 56% 7% - - - -
32 BOWIE Charlotta 100% 97% 74% 37% 10% 1%
33 LAWSON Marie A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
34 DAVIS Elisabeth 100% 43% 7% - - - -
35 PHELAN Gabrielle 100% 47% 9% 1% - - -
36 ZHANG ANGELA 100% 97% 77% 40% 12% 2% -
37 HE Lizbeth 100% 85% 37% 6% - - -
38 LAMBERT Camille L. 100% 86% 41% 10% 1% - -
39 RHEINECKER Eleanora Grace 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
40 DAVIS Shanna 100% 58% 8% - - - -
41 HART Jenna 100% 74% 30% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.