Fairfax Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC & Y8

Div II Women's Saber

Saturday, January 20, 2024 at 11:30 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Results

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Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 XU Emily T. V V V V V V V V V V 4.4 6 +1.6
2 MCAFEE Jada V V V V V V V V V D 3.4 6 +2.6
3 WUNNAVA Ellora V D V V V V V V D 3.4 5 +1.6
3 BARROSO Isabela D V V V V V V V D 3.2 4 +0.8
5 WUNNAVA Elina D V V V V D V V D 3.1 4 +0.9
6 SCHOEW Margot V V V D V D V V D 3.2 4 +0.8
7 FLATT Sophia V V D D V V V D 3.6 3 -0.6
8 HANLON Lucy D V D V V D V V D 3.1 3 -0.1
9 HUA Catherine W. V V D V V V D 5.1 5 -0.1
10 COLBY Mercer V V V D V V D 4.2 5 +0.8
11 MCGRAW Sadie V V V V D V D 3.4 4 +0.6
12 BERNARD Kathryn V D V D V V V D 4.1 4 -0.1
13 BAINS Nandini V V D V V D V D 3.6 4 +0.4
14 DEHON Inès V D V D D V V D 4.2 3 -1.2
15 MACKAY Katherine D D V D V V D 2.5 2 -0.5
16 ZHAO Emily W. D V V D D D V D 4.0 2 -2.0
17 DUBROVINA Irene V D V V D D D 2.8 3 +0.2
18 FLEEGER Sophia V D D V D D 1.5 2 +0.5
19 KALINICHENKO Yekaterina D D D D V V D 2.0 2 -
20 BARCZAY Sara E. V D D V D D D 2.1 2 -0.1
21 BARNES Sarah D V D V D D D 1.5 2 +0.5
22 BARBORIAK Emily D D D D D V D 2.2 1 -1.2
23 VILD Grace D D D D D V D 1.9 1 -0.9
24 ZHANG Jiaqing D D D V D D D 2.2 1 -1.2
25 SOHN Juniper D D D D D D 0.8 0 -0.8
26 MAROSFOI Virag D D D D D D D 1.7 0 -1.7
27 MARTIN Audrey D D D D D D D 0.7 0 -0.7

Legend

Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).

Color Outcome Opponent's Difficulty Probability of Victory
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%

Explanation

The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:

This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.