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Fairfax Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC & Y8

Div II Women's Saber

Saturday, January 20, 2024 at 11:30 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XU Emily T. - - 2% 13% 36% 38% 11%
2 MCAFEE Jada 1% 5% 17% 31% 30% 14% 3%
3 WUNNAVA Ellora 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 14% 3%
3 BARROSO Isabela - 3% 18% 38% 31% 9%
5 WUNNAVA Elina - 4% 20% 41% 27% 7% 1%
6 SCHOEW Margot 1% 6% 20% 32% 27% 12% 2%
7 FLATT Sophia - 2% 11% 32% 39% 17%
8 HANLON Lucy 1% 8% 22% 32% 25% 10% 2%
9 HUA Catherine W. - - - 3% 18% 43% 35%
10 COLBY Mercer - 1% 6% 18% 33% 31% 11%
11 MCGRAW Sadie - 2% 14% 34% 36% 13%
12 BERNARD Kathryn - 1% 7% 20% 34% 29% 10%
13 BAINS Nandini - 3% 13% 28% 32% 19% 5%
14 DEHON Inès - - 3% 17% 40% 32% 8%
15 MACKAY Katherine 2% 14% 36% 34% 13% 2%
16 ZHAO Emily W. - 1% 8% 22% 34% 27% 8%
17 DUBROVINA Irene 2% 11% 26% 32% 21% 7% 1%
18 FLEEGER Sophia 13% 41% 33% 11% 2% -
19 KALINICHENKO Yekaterina 8% 26% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
20 BARCZAY Sara E. 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
21 BARNES Sarah 11% 41% 36% 11% 1% - -
22 BARBORIAK Emily 6% 22% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
23 VILD Grace 6% 29% 42% 19% 4% - -
24 ZHANG Jiaqing 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
25 SOHN Juniper 42% 42% 14% 2% - -
26 MAROSFOI Virag 13% 33% 32% 16% 4% 1% -
27 MARTIN Audrey 45% 41% 12% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.