Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | RACHTCHININE Alexandre | V V V V V | V V V V V | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| 2 | RICHARDS Dick | V V V V V | V V V V D | 4.7 | 5 | +0.3 |
| 3 | HITCHCOCK David | V D V V V | V V V D | 4.4 | 4 | -0.4 |
| 3 | GAUVEY Ken C. | D V D D D | V V V D | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| 5 | CHENG Thomas | V V V V V | V D | 3.8 | 5 | +1.2 |
| 5 | YAKIMENKO Andrei | V V V V V | V D | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| 7 | GAMBINO Robert A. | V V V V V | V V D | 3.5 | 5 | +1.5 |
| 8 | DEUCHER Joseph H. | V D V V V | V V D | 4.6 | 4 | -0.6 |
| 9 | ROUSE Joseph (Joe) T. | V V D V V | V D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 10 | EVANS Allen L. | V V V D D | V D | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 11 | CHRISTY Peter C. | D D V V V | V D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 12 | MORET Eric N. | D V V D D | V D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| 13 | MARKOWITZ William M. | V D D V D | V D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 14 | ARMSTRONG Gary | V D D V D | V D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 15 | CAMPBELL Paul | D D V D D | V D | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| 16 | SNYDER John W. | D D D V D | V D | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| 17 | ZHANG Sen | V V D V V | D | 1.8 | 4 | +2.2 |
| 18 | HUGHES Michael D. | D V V D V | D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 19 | DAVIS Kelly | V D V V D | D | 1.5 | 3 | +1.5 |
| 20 | MEGGERS Samuel | D V V D V | D | 1.7 | 3 | +1.3 |
| 21 | SMITH Herman E. | D D V D V | D | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| 22 | SCHROEDER William | D V D D V | D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 23 | METZLER Jack | V D D V D | D | 1.3 | 2 | +0.7 |
| 24 | DAN Chuntao | D V D D D | D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| 25 | SIMS Martin L. | D D D D V | D | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| 26 | GUERRERO Gonzalo | V D D D D | D | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| 27 | DEOLIVARES JOSE M. | D V D D D | D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 28 | WEIDMAN Jess | D D D D D | D | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| 29 | KONG Qingjun | D D D D D | D | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| 30 | KORMANN Joseph | D D D D D | D | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.