Fairfax Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC & Y8

Y-12 Women's Épée

Saturday, January 20, 2024 at 11:30 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KROPP Anne 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
2 OLELE Ifechi 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
3 LEE Kate 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
3 BURT Emmalyne Grace 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
5 MEGGERS Arya 100% 97% 77% 37% 7%
6 YANG Hannah 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 2%
7 FAN Joy 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 6%
8 LI Xier 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
9 SELTZER Lane 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1%
10 SILVA Hailey 100% 96% 73% 32% 5%
11 YAO Sophia 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% -
12 NEVELS Zoe 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1%
13 NAPOLI Eleanor 100% 95% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
14 YIN Elaine 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
15 HAGERMAN Siona 100% 79% 38% 8% 1%
16 MORET Teagan 100% 79% 36% 8% 1%
17 LEWIN Isabelle 100% 67% 24% 4% - -
18 GAUVEY Amelia 100% 63% 21% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.