Fairfax Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC & Y8

Cadet Men's Saber

Saturday, January 20, 2024 at 3:00 PM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YAN William - - - 1% 11% 38% 50%
2 DECK Tyson - - - 4% 20% 44% 32%
3 CHEN Jonathan - - 4% 21% 44% 31%
3 VALENCIA Jose 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2%
5 FELDMAN Drew - - 1% 10% 40% 49%
6 BREUER Daniel 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5%
7 SADHU Neiyam 1% 12% 33% 35% 16% 3%
8 GERSTMANN Max T. - 2% 11% 29% 39% 20%
9 LIN Felix 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 6%
10 TIAGI George - 1% 8% 29% 42% 19%
11 SZULIM Lucjan - 4% 21% 37% 28% 8% 1%
12 JENSBY Jason - 1% 10% 33% 42% 13%
13 TSAO Oliver - 1% 9% 29% 41% 21%
14 ATWOOD Griffin - - 1% 7% 27% 44% 21%
15 EYSTER Edison 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% -
16 LICHTERMAN Jakub - 2% 14% 33% 35% 14% 2%
17 KO Zuriel - 3% 16% 35% 34% 11%
18 HALL Noah - 1% 10% 30% 40% 19%
19 REHM Liam 3% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
20 XU Ivan - 1% 7% 24% 39% 26% 5%
21 FRUTH Evan - 6% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1%
22 BIALIK Noah 3% 18% 38% 31% 9% 1%
23 PARCELL Colby 19% 40% 30% 10% 1% -
24 SLEP Solomon 1% 10% 30% 38% 18% 3%
25 FENG Brendan 1% 12% 32% 35% 17% 3%
26 LEE Thomas 28% 47% 21% 4% - - -
27 HARDRICK Noah - 4% 21% 37% 28% 8% 1%
28 TSAO Alister 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3% -
29 RINALDI Savio 3% 19% 39% 30% 8% 1%
30 KOGAN Yelisey L. - 3% 16% 35% 34% 11%
31 BENSON Jacob 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
32 LIEUWMA Nicolas - 5% 21% 37% 27% 8% 1%
33 CHAWLA Abhishek 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% -
34 BENE Andrew 15% 42% 31% 10% 1% - -
35 STRUCKER Rocco 12% 38% 35% 14% 2% -
36 PAUL James 6% 31% 38% 20% 5% -
37 AKST Elliot 12% 35% 36% 15% 3% -
38 WEST-BEY Ahmad 38% 42% 17% 3% - -
38 MICHALSKI Brandon 48% 39% 11% 1% - -
40 RICHMAN Izak 30% 45% 21% 4% - - -
41 ROORDA Easton 40% 43% 15% 2% - - -
42 TURECK Nathan 11% 34% 36% 15% 3% -
43 MARGULIS Jared 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 2%
44 YASAKCI Burhan 15% 39% 33% 12% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.