Fairfax Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC & Y8

Cadet Men's Saber

Saturday, January 20, 2024 at 3:00 PM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YAN William 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 50%
2 DECK Tyson 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
3 CHEN Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 31%
3 VALENCIA Jose 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2%
5 FELDMAN Drew 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
6 BREUER Daniel 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5%
7 SADHU Neiyam 100% 99% 86% 53% 18% 3%
8 GERSTMANN Max T. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
9 LIN Felix 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6%
10 TIAGI George 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 19%
11 SZULIM Lucjan 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 9% 1%
12 JENSBY Jason 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 13%
13 TSAO Oliver 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21%
14 ATWOOD Griffin 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 21%
15 EYSTER Edison 100% 79% 41% 12% 2% -
16 LICHTERMAN Jakub 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 16% 2%
17 KO Zuriel 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
18 HALL Noah 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 19%
19 REHM Liam 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 2%
20 XU Ivan 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 5%
21 FRUTH Evan 100% 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1%
22 BIALIK Noah 100% 97% 79% 41% 10% 1%
23 PARCELL Colby 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% -
24 SLEP Solomon 100% 99% 88% 58% 20% 3%
25 FENG Brendan 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3%
26 LEE Thomas 100% 72% 26% 5% - - -
27 HARDRICK Noah 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 9% 1%
28 TSAO Alister 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 3% -
29 RINALDI Savio 100% 97% 78% 39% 9% 1%
30 KOGAN Yelisey L. 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 11%
31 BENSON Jacob 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
32 LIEUWMA Nicolas 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 9% 1%
33 CHAWLA Abhishek 100% 75% 31% 6% 1% -
34 BENE Andrew 100% 85% 43% 11% 1% - -
35 STRUCKER Rocco 100% 88% 51% 16% 3% -
36 PAUL James 100% 94% 63% 25% 5% -
37 AKST Elliot 100% 88% 54% 18% 3% -
38 WEST-BEY Ahmad 100% 62% 20% 3% - -
38 MICHALSKI Brandon 100% 52% 13% 2% - -
40 RICHMAN Izak 100% 70% 25% 4% - - -
41 ROORDA Easton 100% 60% 17% 2% - - -
42 TURECK Nathan 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% -
43 MARGULIS Jared 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
44 YASAKCI Burhan 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.