The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Fairfax Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC & Y8

Junior Men's Saber

Sunday, January 21, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KO Zuriel - - 5% 24% 46% 24%
2 GERSTMANN Max T. - - 3% 18% 45% 34%
3 YAN William - - 1% 6% 21% 40% 32%
3 JENSBY Jason - 3% 18% 38% 32% 9%
5 TSAO Oliver - 1% 8% 30% 44% 18%
6 TIAGI George - 1% 6% 24% 42% 26%
7 VLASENKO Bohdan 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
8 MONTALVO ashur 3% 16% 30% 30% 16% 4% -
9 SLEP Solomon - 6% 25% 39% 25% 5%
10 LIN Felix - 1% 6% 21% 35% 29% 9%
11 MONTALVO Emmeric - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
12 CHEN Jonathan - - 3% 18% 44% 34%
13 STRUCKER Rocco 8% 37% 37% 15% 3% -
14 SADHU Neiyam 2% 10% 25% 32% 22% 8% 1%
15 XU Ivan 1% 8% 23% 33% 24% 9% 1%
16 TSAO Alister 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
17 FENG Brendan 1% 10% 36% 39% 13% 1%
18 MARGULIS Jared 2% 11% 26% 33% 21% 7% 1%
19 SZULIM Lucjan 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 9% 1%
20 EYSTER Edison 3% 16% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
21 BENSON Jacob - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
22 WALKE Devin - 7% 27% 41% 21% 3%
23 BIALIK Noah 1% 13% 37% 36% 11% 1%
24 FRUTH Evan 3% 23% 42% 26% 6% -
25 PARCELL Colby 7% 34% 39% 16% 3% -
26 REHM Liam 1% 9% 30% 38% 19% 3%
27 RICHMAN Izak 43% 43% 13% 1% - -
28 LICHTERMAN Jakub 5% 20% 33% 27% 12% 3% -
29 HO Alex 19% 46% 28% 7% 1% -
30 CUNLIFFE Sebastian 34% 41% 20% 5% 1% - -
31 MICHALSKI Brandon 58% 35% 7% 1% - -
32 LEE Thomas 61% 33% 6% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.