Fairfax Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC & Y8

Junior Men's Saber

Sunday, January 21, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KO Zuriel 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 24%
2 GERSTMANN Max T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 34%
3 YAN William 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 32%
3 JENSBY Jason 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 9%
5 TSAO Oliver 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 18%
6 TIAGI George 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
7 VLASENKO Bohdan 100% 96% 78% 46% 18% 4% -
8 MONTALVO ashur 100% 97% 81% 51% 20% 4% -
9 SLEP Solomon 100% 100% 94% 69% 30% 5%
10 LIN Felix 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 9%
11 MONTALVO Emmeric 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
12 CHEN Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 34%
13 STRUCKER Rocco 100% 92% 55% 18% 3% -
14 SADHU Neiyam 100% 98% 89% 64% 31% 9% 1%
15 XU Ivan 100% 99% 90% 67% 35% 10% 1%
16 TSAO Alister 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
17 FENG Brendan 100% 99% 90% 53% 14% 1%
18 MARGULIS Jared 100% 98% 88% 61% 29% 7% 1%
19 SZULIM Lucjan 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 10% 1%
20 EYSTER Edison 100% 97% 81% 48% 18% 4% -
21 BENSON Jacob 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5%
22 WALKE Devin 100% 100% 93% 65% 25% 3%
23 BIALIK Noah 100% 99% 85% 48% 13% 1%
24 FRUTH Evan 100% 97% 74% 32% 6% -
25 PARCELL Colby 100% 93% 59% 19% 3% -
26 REHM Liam 100% 99% 91% 60% 22% 3%
27 RICHMAN Izak 100% 57% 14% 1% - -
28 LICHTERMAN Jakub 100% 95% 75% 42% 15% 3% -
29 HO Alex 100% 81% 36% 8% 1% -
30 CUNLIFFE Sebastian 100% 66% 25% 5% 1% - -
31 MICHALSKI Brandon 100% 42% 7% 1% - -
32 LEE Thomas 100% 39% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.