Fairfax Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC & Y8

Div I-A Women's Foil

Sunday, January 21, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GRIFFIN Emma G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86%
2 SHENG Chuxi 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
3 WANG Jasmine 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
3 HECHAVARRIA Annis 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
5 RENTON Samantha 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 60%
6 HAFEZ Tahiyah 100% 100% 100% 94% 35% 4%
7 LUONG Tiffany C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 33% 2%
8 MARISI Gianna 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 41% 3%
9 ARMSTRONG Olivia 100% 99% 89% 52% 13% 1% -
10 GORDON Rachel A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 80% 21%
11 LI Katerina 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 12% 1%
12 OWENS Elise 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 31% 4%
13 SHAH Suhani 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11% 1%
14 LIN Ju-An Adrianne 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
15 SHMUKLER Maria 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 12% 1%
16 LEE Alice 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
17 MULLER Van 100% 90% 47% 3% - -
18 HOOGSTRA Lucy 100% 98% 82% 41% 8% 1% -
18 ZHANG Tingyun (Linda) 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% - -
20 ROTHMAN Rebecca 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% 1% -
21 MARTIRE Alessandra 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
22 ZHANG Vicky 100% 80% 28% 1% - -
23 MEITZEN Havah 100% 70% 23% 3% - - -
24 VERGARA Jaden Reese 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% - -
25 HOFF Divya 100% 52% 10% - - -
26 MARKERT Delaney 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
26 SOHN Juniper 100% 69% 22% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.