Fairfax Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC & Y8

Y-12 Men's Saber

Sunday, January 21, 2024 at 3:00 PM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Results

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Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 HENRY Cadel V V V V V V V V V V V 4.3 6 +1.7
2 D'AMELJ Edoardo V V V V D V V V V D 3.7 4 +0.3
3 CHANG Ethan V V V D V V V V D 3.7 4 +0.3
3 LIAO Sirui V V V D V V V V V D 3.6 5 +1.4
5 JOHNSON Leland V V V V V V V D 4.2 5 +0.8
6 BROOKS Theo V V V V V V V D 2.5 5 +2.5
7 PERRIN Leo D V V V V V V D 3.5 4 +0.5
8 YI Andrew V D V V V V V D 4.0 4 -
9 LI Andrew D V V V V V D 4.2 4 -0.2
10 LEVY Daniel V V V D V V D 2.9 4 +1.1
11 GRABOWSKI Alexander V V V V D V D 3.4 4 +0.6
12 DETERMAN Sebastian V V V V D V D 2.8 4 +1.2
13 CHOU Qianhao V V V V D V D 3.0 4 +1.0
14 BADMUS Joshua V D V D V V D 3.5 3 -0.5
15 PROSPER Nathaniel V V D D V V D 2.0 3 +1.0
16 LIU Jayden D V V V D V D 3.0 3 -
17 TAKEBE Ren V D V V V D D 4.4 4 -0.4
18 ALLEN Asa V V D D V D 2.1 3 +0.9
19 VALIYEV Aslan D D V V V D 1.1 3 +1.9
20 ZHANG Weihang V D D V V D 2.1 3 +0.9
21 SLAVNOV Anton D V V D D V D 4.1 3 -1.1
22 JAVIER Xavier V D D D V D 2.8 2 -0.8
23 PIPKE Garrett D D V D V D 2.0 2 -
24 BERGAN Chase D D D V V D 1.1 2 +0.9
25 PLATT Michael (Trace) V D D D V D D 2.6 2 -0.6
26 WANG Ziyao V D D D D D 1.7 1 -0.7
27 DONNELL Cillian D D D V D D 2.7 1 -1.7
28 LEE Aiden D V D D D V D 0.8 1 +0.2
29 BADMUS David D D D V D V D 1.3 1 -0.3
30 PETACCHI Leonardo D D D V D D V D 1.4 1 -0.4
31 BROOKS Isaac D D D D D V D 1.6 0 -1.6
32 URQUILLA Devin D D D D D D V D 0.6 0 -0.6
33 ABRAMSON Zander D V D D D D 3.4 1 -2.4
34 TOURÉ-DEMARCO Toussaint D D D D D D 1.2 0 -1.2
35 SAFAI Bardia D D D D D D 1.2 0 -1.2
35 PISTILLI James D D D D D D 1.9 0 -1.9
37 BONGIORNO Redding D D D D D D 1.5 0 -1.5

Legend

Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).

Color Outcome Opponent's Difficulty Probability of Victory
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%

Explanation

The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:

This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.