Marin Fencing Academy - San Rafael, CA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | KHAYAT Ziad N. | V V V V V V | V V V V V | 5.6 | 6 | +0.4 |
| 2 | NICHOLSON Dimitri E. | V V V V V V | V V V V D | 5.4 | 6 | +0.6 |
| 3 | JAKLITSCH Michael (Mike) T. | V V V V V V | V V V D | 5.3 | 6 | +0.7 |
| 3 | HE Zhiheng | V V V V V | V V V D | 4.3 | 5 | +0.7 |
| 5 | CAMPBELL-KRUGER Adam W. | V D V V V V | V V D | 4.1 | 5 | +0.9 |
| 6 | SOULAIRE Tom | V V V V D | V V D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 7 | HSU Joshua | V V V D D V | V V D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 8 | KENNY Oliver R. | V D D D D V | V V V D | 3.6 | 2 | -1.6 |
| 9 | SODHI Jaco | V V V V V | V D | 3.2 | 5 | +1.8 |
| 10 | TOYOFUKU Ethan | V V D V V V | V D | 3.2 | 5 | +1.8 |
| 11 | PERALTA Christian | V D V V V V | V D | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| 12 | LI Ethan R. | V D V V V | V D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 13 | AHMED Isa | V D V V D V | V D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 14 | WANG Jessie | V D V D V V | V D | 4.2 | 4 | -0.2 |
| 15 | SITTER Gregoire | D V V V V D | V D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| 16 | SIM Ian | V V D D V | V D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 17 | LAURIMAA Emil | V V D V V V | D | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| 18 | HARGROVE Charles | D D V V V | D | 4.1 | 3 | -1.1 |
| 19 | KOUTSOUKOS James | V V D D V D | D | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 |
| 20 | PIVOVAROV Lucas | D D D V V V | D | 3.8 | 3 | -0.8 |
| 21 | MOLLINIER Angel | V V V D D D | D | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| 22 | MITTMAN Lela Z. | D V V V D D | D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 23 | WONG Ethan | D V D D V V | D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 24 | ACKERMANN Richard | D V V D D | D | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| 25 | MA Ryan | D V D D V | D | 1.1 | 2 | +0.9 |
| 26 | RISTOW Carsten | V D V D D D | V D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| 27 | CHENG Zijun | D V D V D D | V D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 28 | MANA Arnav | D D V D D V | V D | 3.6 | 2 | -1.6 |
| 29 | CONTI Braeden | D V D D V D | V D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 30 | LOGUE Paul | V D D D D | V D | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| 31 | CHANG Abigail | D D D D D V | V D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| 32 | TAGKOPOULOS Pagkratios | D D V D D D | V D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| 33 | LIN Jason | D D D V D | D | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| 34 | MORETTI David | V D D D D D | D | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| 35 | PERALTA Christian | D D V D D D | D | 0.6 | 1 | +0.4 |
| 36 | SITTER Keano | D D V D D D | D | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| 37 | LIN Shenghai | D D D D D | D | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 |
| 38 | LIN Andrew | D D D D D D | D | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| 39 | MCGUIRE Maximilien | D D D D D | D | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
| 40 | BUJANOVER Maayan | D D D D D D | D | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.