The Midwinter Melee

Y-12 Mixed Foil

Saturday, January 27, 2024 at 2:00 PM

Candlewood Fencing Center - Newtown, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 PITERBARG Lev - 5% 20% 34% 27% 11% 2% < 1%
2 BALMER Zoe 1% 5% 16% 29% 29% 16% 5% 1%
3 HUDSON Sophie - 2% 11% 26% 32% 21% 7% 1%
3 PUDELKO Andrew - 1% 8% 22% 33% 26% 9% 1%
5 SALERNO A.J. 1% 9% 23% 31% 23% 10% 2% -
6 CHIN Harper - 4% 16% 30% 30% 15% 3% -
7 NASH Owen - - 4% 18% 39% 29% 8% 1%
8 KASCAK Geoffrey 2% 14% 29% 31% 17% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.