The Midwinter Melee

Y-12 Mixed Foil

Saturday, January 27, 2024 at 2:00 PM

Candlewood Fencing Center - Newtown, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 PITERBARG Lev 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2% < 1%
2 BALMER Zoe 100% 99% 95% 79% 50% 22% 5% 1%
3 HUDSON Sophie 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 29% 8% 1%
3 PUDELKO Andrew 100% 100% 98% 90% 68% 36% 10% 1%
5 SALERNO A.J. 100% 99% 89% 66% 35% 12% 2% -
6 CHIN Harper 100% 100% 95% 79% 49% 19% 3% -
7 NASH Owen 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 9% 1%
8 KASCAK Geoffrey 100% 98% 84% 54% 24% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.