The Midwinter Melee

Y-12 Mixed Saber

Saturday, January 27, 2024 at 4:00 PM

Candlewood Fencing Center - Newtown, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 VINBOR COSTA SANTOS Sasha - - - 3% 39% 45% 13%
2 SCHMIEGE Eleanor 2% 21% 41% 29% 7% < 1% -
3 HELMY Edward 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
3 PESTIE Benjamin - 1% 8% 23% 35% 25% 7%
5 CHI Evelyn Grace - 2% 15% 41% 37% 6% -
6 BROGAN Samantha 4% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
7 CALO Penelope 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.