The Midwinter Melee

Y-12 Mixed Saber

Saturday, January 27, 2024 at 4:00 PM

Candlewood Fencing Center - Newtown, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 VINBOR COSTA SANTOS Sasha 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 58% 13%
2 SCHMIEGE Eleanor 100% 98% 77% 36% 7% < 1% -
3 HELMY Edward 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
3 PESTIE Benjamin 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
5 CHI Evelyn Grace 100% 100% 98% 83% 43% 6% -
6 BROGAN Samantha 100% 96% 74% 38% 10% 1% -
7 CALO Penelope 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.