Olympia D'Artagnan's Challenge 3B (Y10/Y14 Epee)

Unrated Y-10 Men's Épée

Sunday, January 28, 2024 at 2:00 PM

Olympia Fencing Center Cambridge - Cambridge, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4
1 PINCIROLI Tommaso 100% 12% < 1% -
3 MURPHY CHANCOGNE Quentin 100% 80% 32% 5% -
5 NOVAK Luke 100% 86% 47% 10%
8 GREGORY Milo 100% 96% 73% 27%
9 HO Jarrett 100% 91% 51% 9% < 1%
11 SON Joshua 100% 89% 53% 14%
12 AGARWAL Avirat 100% 90% 40%
13 LI Sean 100% 99% 82% 42% 9%
15 JOHNSON Chukwualuka "Luka" Brock 100% 95% 24% 1%
17 LOGINOV Iurii 100% 99% 79% 10%
18 SARKAR Aum 100% 68% 18%
19 ROSA Luis S 100% 99% 92% 61% 19%
20 KOLIDAS Alexander 100% 70% 13%
21 MATHIESEN Cormac 100% 99% 81% 40% 8%
22 BARNES Zachary 100% 73% 28% 4%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.