2024 Herb Spector Cup

Div II Mixed Épée

Sunday, January 28, 2024 at 3:00 PM

Birmingham Fencing Club - Hoover, AL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SUNDQUIST Matthew 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 10%
2 PATEL Kushal 100% 100% 98% 82% 44% 11%
3 KRAFFT Douglas 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 28%
3 ELLIOTT Wyatt 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 13%
5 CARRIE Konnor 100% 100% 90% 56% 15%
6 FORD Tillman 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2%
7 LIU Elinda 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
8 ALLEY Everett T 100% 100% 98% 78% 37% 7%
9 SKOWRONSKI Alexander 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 9%
10 WILLIAMS Eli 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
11 PARCELEWICZ John M. 100% 99% 92% 62% 19% 1%
12 ARMISTEAD Jack Riley 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 36%
13 KERTESZ Stefan G. 100% 100% 91% 55% 17% 2%
14 SOPER Adam 100% 99% 80% 41% 11% 1%
15 WYNN Paul 100% 91% 60% 23% 5% -
16 BROWN Hannah 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
17 CALINSKY Edward 100% 99% 72% 26% 3%
18 BROWN Matt 100% 98% 82% 45% 12% 1%
19 RESTER Christopher 100% 99% 77% 33% 5%
20 CLEMONS Adder 100% 89% 50% 14% 2% -
21 DUNKLIN Devon 100% 98% 83% 41% 10% 1%
22 MOYNIHAN Jones 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
23 RAY William 100% 100% 97% 78% 34%
24 CORDOVA Colin 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% -
25 LIU Yunhao 100% 93% 43% 9% 1% -
26 HALVERSON Spencer 100% 59% 17% 2% - -
27 HAAS Lindsey 100% 22% 2% - - -
28 BELCHER Marleigh 100% 14% 1% - -
29 MASRI Rania 100% 35% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.