January Fenceathon

Div III Mixed Foil

Sunday, January 28, 2024 at 8:00 AM

The Fencing Center - san jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 ANDRADE Cedric 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
2 NISHIHIRA Tyler 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 28%
3 LEHTINEN Axel 100% 100% 99% 90% 52% 6%
3 MARTIN Lucas 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 11%
5 COONAN Seamus 100% 100% 93% 67% 29% 5%
6 ARCARA Evan 100% 95% 65% 25% 5% -
7 MANIKTALA Suvir 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
8 TIKHONOVA Sofia 100% 94% 69% 32% 7% 1%
9 LIANG Ethan 100% 99% 92% 63% 22% 2%
10 BHANOT Arjun 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% -
11 TIKHONOVA Vasilisa 100% 100% 94% 69% 28% 4%
12 CHOI Andrew 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
13 SHU Eric 100% 92% 57% 16% 2% -
14 WILLEY Emerson 100% 99% 86% 52% 17% 2%
15 URSU Oana M. 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% -
16 ANDRICH Allen 100% 100% 95% 72% 26% 3%
17 BAUMAN Nicholas 100% 37% 6% - - -
18 MERRIGAN Annabelle 100% 98% 80% 41% 11% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.