SoCal Scholastic Fencing League NOVICE Foil, Epee & Saber

Unrated Junior Men's Foil

Sunday, January 28, 2024 at 10:30 AM

Chaminade Middle School - Chatsworth, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MARQUEZ Jacob 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 12% 1%
2 KURZ Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 58% 17%
3 MOTTAZ Henry 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
3 SONDHI Aekagra 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 7% 1%
5 DIAZ Zahir 100% 85% 47% 15% 2% < 1% -
6 NIELSEN Henry 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 4% -
7 CALDERON Gustavo 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
8 MARQUEZ Gabriel 100% 97% 80% 49% 19% 4% -
9 JOHNSON KOHLER Oscar 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
10 RISK Dean 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 31% 2%
11 MCQUAY Michael 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
12 RAWLINSON Cameron 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
13 CHEN Alexander 100% 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
14 GODINA Jayden 100% 99% 84% 48% 13% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.