Sword in the Cake

Div III Women's Foil

Saturday, February 3, 2024 at 9:00 AM

Bay Regional Fencing Alliance - Freeland, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4
1 AADHI Hansika 2% 15% 37% 35% 11%
2 HAN Katherine 12% 42% 34% 10% 1%
3 CAMPBELL June 20% 44% 30% 6% -
3 COHEN Ava 11% 38% 38% 12% 1%
5 ISHANOVA Sofia 11% 40% 39% 9% < 1%
6 COLLINS Anna 1% 11% 32% 40% 16%
7 LICHTENSTEIGER Megan 1% 10% 38% 42% 10%
8 MORSE Katherine 22% 47% 27% 5% -
9 HARRIS Parker - 1% 9% 49% 41%
10 DESAI Kanushi 17% 40% 32% 10% 1%
11 XIONG Isabel 37% 43% 17% 3% -
12 OWENS Carrie M. - 1% 8% 38% 53%
13 BENSON Kalin 3% 20% 39% 30% 8%
14 MCCUBBIN-GREEN Rori 3% 17% 39% 33% 8%
15 GINTHER Analiese 2% 16% 38% 34% 9%
16 MCCUBBIN-GREEN Isla 1% 10% 34% 40% 16%
17 JOLIVET Samantha 5% 22% 38% 28% 7%
18 GAMACHE Elle 3% 35% 45% 16% 1%
18 TONK Navaeh-Grace 5% 28% 44% 22% 2%
20 MEHLHOSE Mallery 10% 38% 39% 13% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.