Sword in the Cake

Div III Women's Foil

Saturday, February 3, 2024 at 9:00 AM

Bay Regional Fencing Alliance - Freeland, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4
1 AADHI Hansika 100% 98% 84% 46% 11%
2 HAN Katherine 100% 88% 46% 12% 1%
3 CAMPBELL June 100% 80% 36% 6% -
3 COHEN Ava 100% 89% 50% 12% 1%
5 ISHANOVA Sofia 100% 89% 48% 10% < 1%
6 COLLINS Anna 100% 99% 88% 56% 16%
7 LICHTENSTEIGER Megan 100% 99% 89% 52% 10%
8 MORSE Katherine 100% 78% 32% 5% -
9 HARRIS Parker 100% 100% 99% 90% 41%
10 DESAI Kanushi 100% 83% 43% 11% 1%
11 XIONG Isabel 100% 63% 20% 3% -
12 OWENS Carrie M. 100% 100% 99% 91% 53%
13 BENSON Kalin 100% 97% 76% 38% 8%
14 MCCUBBIN-GREEN Rori 100% 97% 80% 41% 8%
15 GINTHER Analiese 100% 98% 81% 43% 9%
16 MCCUBBIN-GREEN Isla 100% 99% 89% 56% 16%
17 JOLIVET Samantha 100% 95% 73% 35% 7%
18 GAMACHE Elle 100% 97% 62% 18% 1%
18 TONK Navaeh-Grace 100% 95% 68% 24% 2%
20 MEHLHOSE Mallery 100% 90% 53% 14% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.