Sword in the Cake

Div III Mixed Foil

Saturday, February 3, 2024 at 11:00 AM

Bay Regional Fencing Alliance - Freeland, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DIEPSTRA Jeremy - 1% 7% 30% 46% 16%
2 LEE Ian 2% 12% 33% 34% 16% 4% -
3 KUE Temujin - - 1% 9% 27% 41% 22%
3 NAZARIO Dominic 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
5 HAW Keith F. - 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
6 OWENS Andrew J. - - - 5% 21% 43% 31%
7 AADHI Hansika - 2% 9% 24% 35% 25% 6%
8 HAN Katherine 4% 33% 42% 18% 3% < 1% -
9 BASS Nathan - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 6%
10 BONE Porter - 1% 5% 21% 39% 28% 5%
11 GREEN Zachary J. - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
12 COLLINS Anna - 2% 11% 26% 33% 22% 6%
13 ISHANOVA Sofia - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 1%
14 COHEN Ava 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
15 KNIBBE Nathan 3% 17% 36% 32% 11% 1%
16 TATE Liam 1% 6% 23% 36% 26% 7% 1%
17 EDWARDS Connor 16% 40% 32% 11% 2% -
18 TATE Linus - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
19 BASS Evan 1% 8% 26% 36% 22% 6% 1%
20 SOMERFORD Alex - 1% 6% 20% 36% 29% 8%
21 MICK Gabriel 4% 25% 39% 24% 6% 1% -
22 KOLACKI Gabriel 3% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
23 ANGIER Aleister - 5% 17% 31% 30% 15% 3%
24 MCCUBBIN-GREEN Isla 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
25 GIBSON Ammon 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
26 DESAI Kanushi 5% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
27 JACOBS Matthew 7% 28% 38% 21% 5% 1% -
28 GINTHER Analiese 2% 14% 31% 33% 17% 3% -
29 RAPELJE Peyton 20% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
30 MALONE Corey 4% 23% 39% 27% 7% -
31 HANNA Ihab (Hap) M. 2% 13% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
32 RYAN Liam 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 6% -
33 MCCUBBIN-GREEN Rori 8% 27% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
34 GAMACHE Elle 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.